I’ve got my eye on the “Kiwi” regardless of which pair, for the pure reason that it looks severely overbought.
Overbought – A situation in which the demand for a certain asset unjustifiably pushes the price of an underlying asset to levels that do not support the fundamentals.
Now, The Bank of New Zealand has recently made mention of a possible “hike” in interest rates (which has most certainly been the tail wind behind the latest advance) but the Kiwi still represents a “risk related currency” and is subject to large moves when appetite for risk wanes.
Have a look at the daily chart and see how “84.00” looks like a solid area of resistance.
NZD_USD_SEPT_2013_Forex_Kong
Now, “86.00” doesn’t look completely out of the question, but with the usual “staggered mutli-order” approach, I’m seeing the risk vs reward looking pretty good for a short up here.
Another full day’s downward movement will likely trip the Kongdicator ( as I am free wheeling here on this one so far ) so we’ll keep our eyes peeled for that.
Kong….gone.
Going long Eur/nzd here looks great!
Ya…I gotta say.
I get some “moderate flack” about some of my entry choices / trade stategies. I assume from smaller traders, or those with little understanding of the fundamentals.
Cheers for “seeing it” ma man! A bit wonky for some….and “insanity” for others!