Trading Greed – Take Profits Faster

It’s very difficult trying to “teach” people not to be greedy.

Human nature ( or at least the human nature you “had” before becoming a trader ) pretty much has “greed” wound tightly ’round your genes, and for the most part – that makes sense. Man finds something that he wants / needs, then he wants more, he needs more, and if only driven by the human instinct to “survive” – he looks to “get more”.

What happens when you wake up the morning after your “discovery” and the “more” you where planning to go back for – has disappeared? Overnight – the watering hole has dried up.

Thankfully you took what you could the day before right? Running home to get that “bigger bucket” (to put all that water in) didn’t work out to well for you did it?

You have to learn to take profits when you see them…as in this crazy environment there is absolutely no guarantee they’ll still be there in the morning.

Kong on the scoreboard with 4% returns on trades initiated Monday – now looking at re entry . As well on the CNBC front I’ve actually been pleasantly surprised this week as…..the floating heads have shown considerable restraint ( as I would have expected them to just say  buy, buy , buy ).

The Psychology of Profit Taking in Volatile Markets

That 4% return wasn’t luck – it was discipline meeting opportunity. While amateur traders chase the fantasy of 50% gains, professionals know that consistent mid-single digit returns compound into generational wealth. The difference isn’t intelligence or access to better information. It’s understanding that markets are designed to punish greed and reward patience.

The watering hole analogy isn’t just colorful language – it’s market reality. Every rally creates believers, every dip creates doubters, and every volatile swing separates the disciplined from the desperate. When you see profit, you take it. When you see opportunity, you prepare for re-entry. This isn’t complicated, but it requires rewiring decades of human programming.

Reading Market Sentiment Through Media Restraint

The real tell this week wasn’t price action – it was CNBC’s uncharacteristic restraint. When the financial media machine isn’t screaming “buy everything,” you know institutional money is being cautious. The talking heads follow the smart money, not the other way around. Their restraint signals that even the perma-bulls are seeing cracks in the foundation.

This creates the perfect setup for disciplined traders. While retail investors wait for confirmation from their favorite TV personalities, professionals are positioning for the next move. The silence from the cheerleaders isn’t bearish – it’s realistic. And realism in markets creates opportunity for those willing to act independently.

Currency Dynamics in an Uncertain Environment

The forex markets are screaming what equity markets are whispering. Dollar strength isn’t sustainable when built on narrative rather than fundamentals. The recent USD weakness we’ve been tracking is accelerating, creating massive opportunities for traders positioned correctly.

EUR/USD is finding support exactly where technical analysis predicted. GBP/USD is building a base that looks remarkably similar to patterns we’ve seen before major rallies. JPY pairs are showing classic reversal signals that institutional traders recognize immediately. The currency markets don’t lie – they reflect real capital flows and genuine economic pressures.

Smart money is rotating out of overvalued USD positions into undervalued alternatives. This isn’t speculation – it’s mathematical inevitability. When a currency is propped up by hope rather than fundamentals, gravity eventually wins.

Strategic Re-Entry Points and Risk Management

Taking profit at 4% wasn’t the end of the trade – it was profit preservation before the next opportunity. Re-entry requires patience and precision. The market will tell you when it’s ready, but you have to be listening with discipline rather than desperation.

Key levels are holding exactly where they should. Support zones that looked questionable last week now appear solid. Resistance levels that seemed impenetrable are showing cracks. This is how markets transition from one phase to the next – slowly, then suddenly.

The market bottom we identified is proving accurate, but rallies don’t happen in straight lines. They require consolidation, retesting, and the kind of choppy action that shakes out weak hands. Professional traders use this chop to accumulate positions while amateurs get frustrated and exit.

The Next Phase: Positioning for December

December historically brings unique trading dynamics. Year-end positioning, holiday liquidity constraints, and institutional portfolio adjustments create opportunities that don’t exist during regular market periods. The setup entering this December looks particularly promising for disciplined traders.

Currency correlations are breaking down in ways that create pure arbitrage opportunities. Equity indices are showing divergence patterns that signal major moves ahead. Commodity currencies are responding to fundamental shifts that most traders aren’t even aware of yet.

The key is staying flexible without being reactive. Plans change, but discipline remains constant. That 4% return was just the beginning – the real money gets made by those patient enough to let winning positions develop and disciplined enough to cut losing ones quickly.

Markets reward preparation and punish improvisation. While others chase yesterday’s moves, professionals are positioning for tomorrow’s opportunities.

14 Responses

  1. robert January 15, 2014 / 9:40 am

    I want those talking heads to keep saying buy buy buy… indices keep rallying when people are too bearish.. even though i have no idea if anyone is trading stocks except the algos…

    • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 9:43 am

      On it goes eh man?!

      As suggested…one can only keep taking things day by day, and banking profits along the way!

      • JSkogs January 15, 2014 / 11:39 am

        I’m on high alert for the yen reload at this point. USD trades nice and green.

        • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 11:43 am

          I’ve reloaded small USD shorts…..still hanging on Yen but man……..talk about stretching this out!

          Also back in short AUD/JPY and a couple more pending.

  2. Franky January 15, 2014 / 12:55 pm

    JPY pairs not cooperating, still holding…adding more positions?

    Did you see oil jump today on crude oil inventories? Just day after I closed longs it starts to move….usual scenario.

    • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 1:01 pm

      Never fails does it?

      I can’t tell you how many times I’ve booked profits on a trade – and watched the thing just keep going in said direction. It’s just a part of trading, and you do your best to catch whatever moves you can.

      A bit of cross current here today with Commods / Oil / USD etc….tough to say minute to minute – as one day up , next day down – as the wash /rinse/ repeat continues.

      • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 1:02 pm

        The “retrace” in Yen pairs is just screaming “take another shot”! “take another shot”!

        I AM INDEED LOOKING TO RELOAD / CONTINUE with prior suggested trades – YES.

  3. JSkogs January 15, 2014 / 1:02 pm

    I’m going to start scaling in small yen longs now. Going to set stops with short AUDUSD and NZDUSD positions to protect profits

    • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 1:05 pm

      You da man JSKogs.

      Very cool trading.

  4. Q. January 15, 2014 / 2:09 pm

    Great post Kong, I couldn’t agree more.
    Our own trading style allow us to be right (fingers crossed) for a certain period of time – the deal is never correct forever as markets change too quickly. We have to learn for how long we are usually right for – then take it. For me, I’ve learned that anything after 1% is risky and have been spanked more often than not trying for more.
    Keep it up Kong.
    Q.

    • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 2:31 pm

      I just fear that many reading here – see the trade alert, possibly place a trade, see things move into profit…

      Then expect to get rich!

      I can’t teach someone to “sell when I sell” or “move as fast as I do”….or at least not here, like this.

      People likely learn time and time again – that the reasons they fail / lose is primarily ( no soley ) based in their own poor judgement.

      • Forex Kong January 15, 2014 / 6:33 pm

        Wow…..AUD short re entries killing it on AUD data.

        short AUD/JPY killing it.

  5. Graham Herbert (@mistergmh) January 15, 2014 / 4:11 pm

    You cant wipe out your bank taking profits … minimise your losses when your wrong and take profit at least partially to stop a profitable trade turning bad … I have a very reliable indicator to help in timing if anyone is interested … its on an MT4 program and when its wrong you can get out fairly cheaply but it is fantastic for a runner …

  6. JSkogs January 15, 2014 / 6:49 pm

    Gee those aud trades are working out horribly….scored big time on the add

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