Dow Weekly Swing Low – Back To The Highs

The completion of this “intermediate cycle” is now within striking distance, after several days of extremely frustrating / volatile trading. Wow – what a shake out.

Now the technicals are “just a hair away” from confirming a “weekly swing low” (when the close of the weekly candle is “higher” than the close of the previous weekly candle).

You see it here? Just a few more points and the swing will be complete.

Dow Weekly Swing Low

Dow Weekly Swing Low

I would also take note of the “screaming double top” There around 26,900. Yo can clearly see rejection back in Jan/Feb as well as here in October.

The average stock today (ok a few days ago) is trading at 73% above its historical average valuation.

There are only two other times in history that stocks were more expensive than they are today: just before the Great Depression hit and in the 1999 run-up to the dotcom bubble burst.

One would have to ask themselves ‘What possible upside could remain” considering the gong show in evaluations, the bleak earnings we just saw in Q3, the trade war as well both China and Russia dumping BILLIONS of U.S Dollar Debt…..and the results of the mid term elections likely to have “significant impact” if indeed democrats steal back the house or senate.

Since March, Russia has dumped 84% of it’s American debt holdings! 84%! The bond selling has now reached “waterfall levels” with no real signs of support.

The U.S Dollar is set for the next “dumping” here as of today as well.

With the weekly swing low “essentially in” one might expect that stocks shoot for the highs here once again BUT! Mid terms could put a rook in those plans.

Generally speaking……what we will see over the next few weeks will be those retail investors who have “finally gotten off the couch” thinking this time it will be different.

It’s never different.

10 years straight up……..unprecedented. How does 2-4 years down sound? 

Totally normal, as we’ve got 150 years of data to work from.

10 years up? Common…….the “down” is gonna look equally nutty.

 

 

 

Time Travel – Stock Markets – Cryptos ‘n Space

Time travel is a bitch you know….

You feel as though you’ve only been gone for a second yet…. on return soon realize things have really changed. I mean like………really changed.

It’s been a fairly long time…and I apologize for that. Travelling the cosmos in search of new technologies is an arduous task yet incredibly satisfying when you hit your mark. Unfortunately this time I’ve come back to Earth somewhat empty handed, realizing that for the most part……seemingly…Earth itself is the current “hot bed of activity” with respect to new technologies and advancement.

What do you know eh?…..now if only we could stop killing each other, and perhaps slow the rate of environmental destruction to a crawl – maybe there’s a chance Elon gets a few of his supporters up to Mars before Trump nukes Korea. Bravo Elon….you’re on the right track brotha.

As I said….things have changed quite dramatically since my last visit.

Looking into markets, I continue to invest heavily in cryptocurrencies as ( if you don’t quite get the full picture – totally understandable and not unlike the vast majority of people ) this being the point exactly.

We stand on the cusp of a new era. A new beginning. A fresh start for those a generation behind, where “old money” still struggles with the concept. Totally understandable. It’s wild. It’s nutty……but it “is” the future, and it “will” change the face of our current economic system. There is incredible opportunity here so please….don’t sell yourself short. You can do it. You can learn this. You’ll get it. I promise.

space-gorilla

space-gorilla

Litecoin. Research it. Bitcoin…will inevitably become a “store of value” much like gold exists in our current paradigm. Understand it. Tron/TRX  is a token out of China that I have 100% confidence will provide 100X returns over coming years ( yes I said years ) so throw that on your radar as well. Justin Sun ( Tron’s creator ) is the protegé of Jack Ma ( I bet you know what Alibaba is no? ) so imagine when these guys put a few more deals together. Tron gonna fly.

As for Forex……well. My long-term predictions on the “ultimate demise of the U.S dollar” are obviously coming to fruition. This dog has been tanking now for months ( nailed it / killed it / banked coin ) and to be honest…….I’ve completely lost interest. There is no debate. The U.S Dollar will continue to fall, and with the advent of cryptocurrencies….likely harder / faster than originally suggested.

You can STILL short USD – like……Monday morning.

Stocks are insane…..I’m not touching them with a ten foot laser beam as…..the volatility ( -724 type days ) is a larger indication of the Wall St. machines “slowly” switching the algos to “sell”. Cover your asses….keep profits / hang on to cash and stop considering “this will go up forever” – cuz it won’t. Catch what you can over coming months but…….I’m 100% out of stocks….short of the continued rise in Canadian marijuana companies.

It will take a single headline these days ( Trump impeachment ?? ) to wipe out every single nickel you’ve made over the past year so…….take heed. Party on.

 

 

 

 

 

Crypto Kong – Killing It On Cryptos And Weed

The purchase of both Bitcoin and Ethereum back on Sept 22nd has been incredible.

All about the same time most “financial gurus” where suggesting crypto currencies were finished – low and behold….a dip and only a dip as Bitcoin is set for higher highs….then higher highs again.

In Canada I use QuadrigaCX for my crypto trading and they are great.

I highly recommend starting an account as it only takes a minute / is so easy and connects directly to your bank account for deposits and withdrawals.

USD has floundered / not “crashed” to the degree that I imagined but…the trade there as well, having held for 3-4 weeks short = Killer.

Shall I go on?

How bout the Canadian Marijuana Stocks??

I bought Aurora at 2.15! ACB

I bought Canopy Growth at $7.50! WEED

And recently picked up THC BioMed ( a friends company in Canada ) at .40 cents. It was .99 cents yesterday!

You know I’ve got the newsletter, and you know how bullish I am on Canadian Marijuana companies. The last 6 weeks have been unreal, as I seriously doubt we will ever see these price levels again.

Jump on the mailer and you might just catch the next wave.

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Kong's Got Weed

                                                         Kong’s Got Weed

 

 

 

MAJOR TRADE ALERT! – U.S.D Bear Market Confirmed

The U.S Dollar has now confirmed what I’ve been suggesting for literally “years”.

The latest fall has USD generating “yet another” failed daily cycle, confirming that the United States Dollar is headed for the basement. Cryptocurrencies have now taken centre stage, along side The Euro, as the second most widely held reserve currency on the planet.

The U.S Dollar will be sold “even more aggressively” than in recent weeks / months and the trade is now “more than safe” to enter.

You get short USD – NOW…..and you stay that way until mid October. This is major, major, major serious news but not likely front and centre on your local news ( In the United States I wonder if it will be mentioned at all!) as you know my thoughts about that. We’ve only got one small support zone left to break, and it’s literally…..a loooooong way down after that.

USD - Bear Market Begins

USD – Bear Market Begins

Gold, Cryptocurrencies ( such as Bitcoin ) and The Euro will explode higher, as USD takes a serious nose dive over coming weeks. I’m even considering a target as low as the 85 area by mid October when “once again” the U.S Debt Ceiling is reached…then extended – as always!

We’ll get into specific trades here starting Monday, but in all…….( and I rarely say this in trading Forex ) this is going to be easy money / a very straight forward trade.

Get short USD now…..get long Gold, The EURO and most any cryptocurrency you can manage – then we’ll see how you feel come mid October.

Think about buying yourself some “weed” for more than a few reasons in wake of this USD Bear Market…now confirmed.

I am heavily immersed in the Canadian Marijuana biz ( more on that later ) and am currently spouting off everything I know – “and will know” as Canada moves towards federal legalization spring of 2018. Hit the newsletter sign up – you won’t be disappointed.

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What If…..Kong Plays Devils Advocate

It never hurts to consider the “what if’s” – right?

Playing the devil’s advocate here, I fully understand the complete and total “retail euphoria” currently playing out in markets. Don’t get me wrong either….I’ve missed a couple trades here and there. Fair enough.

Shit happens.

Stepping back and taking a wider view…the SP 500 hasn’t “really” gone anywhere for a full month ( some 20 odd trading days ) as much as the general media hype would still have you think you’ve missed the boat.

“This” isn’t exactly what I call missing a large scale move:

SP 500 - 20 days flat

SP 500 – 20 days flat

Now the “what if”.

You all know I watch the Japanese Nikkei much closer than I generally do the SP so….

The weekly Nikkei is still suggestive of a considerable pullback on the horizon OR…..(and this is still quite possible) a major top / market reversal spanning several weeks.

Nikkei Looks Tough To Me

Nikkei Looks Tough To Me

There is tonnes of room below – on route towards both the 50 day MA as well the 200 ( and we all know I love that 200! ) but more than that…..the previous high back there in Nov/Dec has yet again proven to be a very strong area of resistance.

What if……the Nikkei does still lead? What if….this retail “blow up” turns dramatically dark / sinister on some kind of “nuke news” out of Korea? What if your newly financed car ends up back on the lot since you recently dumped your life savings into the market?

Personally…..and I’ll say it again….I don’t like it.

I’m looking for a good reason to jump off the fence so….. your comments and opinions more than welcome.

If it’s all just rainbows and butterflies…..why am I not buying stocks?

 

 

 

USD Update – Pot Stocks As Well

For those of you who’ve so “intelligently subscribed” to “Kong’s Pot Stock Watch” – I commend you.

Aurora Cannabis has shot up some 15-20% ( don’t quote me here ) over recent days…and is holding / looking good! I’m well into it / averaged in around 2.25 and Canada is still on track to get this stuff legal in coming months. The trade alert come out over the weekend….so don’t be a fool. Get signed up and catch the next one.

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In other news…

The U.S Dollar is a dog. You know my longer term thoughts / views on the money printing and the chaos that will one day ensue. Regardless….still looking for a near term bottom here ( as seen in previous charts of USD/CAD ) and a likely move to the upside.

Today we see a “swing low” on day 17-18 of the daily cycle so…..don’t get out the red panties but I assume USD will take a bounce here.

That’s it – I gotta run. It’s summer and I’m busy doing things that make sense….not staring at charts / watching paint dry, but don’t think for a minute I’ve taken my eye off the ball.

I know everything. I see everything. I am thousands of years old……

I just can’t remember most it.

Forex_Kong_Hungry

Forex_Kong_Hungry

 

 

 

Canada Tough Times – Headlines Suggest Otherwise

I’ve recently come to understand “just how complacent” the general investment community is up in Canada. Now don’t get me wrong –  I am an extremely proud Canadian. I love Canada as anyone so fortunate to have been born in Canada “should” love Canada. However…….

A recent article outlining the current “debt to income situation” in Canada, coupled with the recent “decline in housing sales” and recent rise in interest rates juuuuust might confirm what I’ve been fearing for some time.

The headlines continue to suggest an improving economy, and it appears that the vast majority of Canadians are still living under the guise that “nothing could possibly go wrong in the Great White North”.

I’m looking ahead to Canadian Dollar weakness….as well offer you some “additional reading” below the chart. Interest rates on the rise with the ratio of debt to income – not looking so great.

USD/CAD

The US dollar has fallen vs CAD for the past 2.5 months! I’m watching the 1.2458 number ( a double bottom / area of support looking back to the big green candle there in April ) for the fall to stop – USD to move back to the upside.

Expecting Double Bottom in USD/CAD

Expecting Double Bottom in USD/CAD

Some time ago, Deutsche Bank’s chief international economist, Torsten Slok, presented several charts which showed that “Canada is in serious trouble” mostly as a result of its over reliance on its frothy, bubbly housing sector, but also due to the fact that unlike the US, the average household had failed to reduce its debt load in time. Read more below….and take it for what it is. Canada “reality check” most certainly on the horizon.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-07-12/canada-serious-trouble-again-and-time-its-real

Trading Patience – Summer Doldrums Almost Over

Anyone who hasn’t already learned their lesson “this summer” can simply file it away for next year. You’ve learned something right? You’ve learned that you just can’t “make” markets move…no matter how badly you are scratching to hit those buttons! Markets suck during the summer, and I don’t care what anyone else has to say about. I know. I continue to survive – picking my shots when most likely to see reward….staying out of trouble when volume is low.

Summer is no time for big moves / big trades or big expectations. Take it. Learn from it…and consider yourself a better trader.Done deal.

Looking ahead….as much as it pains me to admit it…..this thing continues to pull in retailers at an incredible clip, and has every likelihood of blowing expectations “TO THE UPSIDE”.

All the pieces are in place really….as I receive more and more inquiries from old friends across the planet asking me for investment assistance “scared shitless” that they’re gonna miss out – as their broker just called with another hot deal.

All the makings of one incredible “blow off top / blast for the stars rip” as the last of the retail gang get’s off the couch with their 2k nest eggs. Sad in a sense as……these poor folk are very often buying the top and unable to act quickly enough to book profits before the fall. Seeing it s many times in the past…..it’s a cycle and it ALWAYS repeats.

I got bumped ( obviously ) on the last lil trade with The U.S Dollar ‘s continued fall. Certainly didn’t expect another daily cycle down, but that should be the last before both USD and U.S Stocks pop to the upside.

Charts? I got nothin……short of wishing I could chart my continued boredom / lack of participation vs some idiot out there pushing buttons all summer. Profits dick-head? I think not.

I will plow you in the face – the next dumb ass giving me a hard time in the comments section believe me. I’ve gotten on planes to “make things right” for a lot less.

Cool your jets kiddies….I’m back, and will be lighting it up again here shortly.

Chill.

 

 

 

 

Dollar Finally Bottoms – Flip A Coin On Stocks

Well well well…..it looks as though USD has finally, FINALLY found its bottom.

I can pull out a number of fantastic correlations / trades in the currency market ‘specific to USD’ but at this point in time…..the general market movement / usual correlations will be saved for another day – as we’ve all seen a number of these fall apart as of late.

Gold has fallen consistently “with” USD which in most cases makes no sense, tech stocks have been clobbered and considering the buoyancy in markets in general….have NOT been actively participating.

EUR/USD pretty straight forward here: SAFE TO SHORT

safe to short EUR

                                                                                  safe to short EUR

Markets continue to trade in “good ol summer fashion” leaving most traders scratching their heads looking for direction.

It’s nuts out there! You know it, I know it.

You’d think an intermediate bottom in USD would send Gold decidedly lower…but even there….gold has landed near an area of support so…..we’ve got some “rotation” going here, and need to take the time to figure out –  WHERE IS THE MONEY GOING NEXT?

Risk trade in AUD/JPY would appear to have hit resistance but…..nothing to write home about.

Risk Trade in AUD/JPY

                                                                                Risk Trade in AUD/JPY

It “almost looks to me” like a bottom in USD might amount to more U.S stocks being sold, and in turn US dollar reserves moving higher, while gold stays flat but….that’s pure speculation.

We need another day er two to see how things unfold from here. I’m short EUR/USD – and that’s it!

 

 

 

Market Surprise! – Dollar and Stocks To Fall

Step away from your computer for a couple of days and BAM!

Stocks peaked out on day 21 of their cycle, and the USD bounce just turned into a “USD crater”. Stocks could easily fall much lower over coming weeks so…

I wouldn’t think much of it considering that nearly ever single time stocks take a little break…they have generally popped back up in but – THIS TIME? The intermediate cycles have been so extended, the counts have been very difficult, but with today’s action coupled with the massive “profit taking event” in tech stocks some weeks ago?

Don’t go looking to buy a dip here! DO NOT GO HUNTING FOR A BUYING OPPORTUNITY!

If this is indeed the long-awaited “mini crash / intermediate decline in stocks” it will take weeks, and quite possibly roll over into yet another failed daily cycle pushing things lower for weeks “after that”.

It’s far, far to early to even consider this a buying opportunity, as you should have been looking at these past few months as selling opportunities anyway right?

I’m dumping my crappy “short MUX / summer play on Gold” and otherwise have “zero skin in the game”.

USD falling thru here very surprising so I am 100% out ( perhaps with a tiny profit ) first thing in the a.m.

Sorry….the sun is out, and as stated many many weeks ago……I’ve no time for this now. It’s a waste of my “oh so valuable time”.

Forex_Kong_Disgusted

       Forex_Kong_Disgusted