I live with ants.
Going back now…..some 12 or so years – the ants have become my friends….my confidants……my unspoken and loyal followers…… my pals. Happily going about their business…..as I’ve done mine – a mutual respect if you will.Then I got involved with this “trading thing”……and the ants and I needed make room for “a new animal” – oddly…..enter….”the wolves”.
Hardly indigenous to central or south america…these “wolves” kept poppin up….. via my computer screen! As my ants continued over and across….morning after morning, we where now faced with these confounded wolves. Wolves I tell you! Wolves in my computer!
He he….again…..I digress.
Point being…….each and every day you enter the markets – be prepared. You will encounter wolves.Their teeth are sharp, they travel in packs, are highly organized and will gladly tear you to shreds at a moments notice.
I’ve got nothing to add “market wise” as things are going exactly as planned. But there will be much more on wolves, ants, rats, snakes, bulls, bears, roaches, hawks, doves – and the rest of the characters we trade with everyday.
Understanding Your Position in the Trading Food Chain
The Wolf Pack’s Hunting Strategy
These digital wolves I speak of aren’t just random market participants – they’re institutional traders, hedge funds, and central banks with billions at their disposal. They hunt in coordinated attacks, especially during London-New York overlap when liquidity peaks. Watch EUR/USD between 8-11 AM EST and you’ll see their footprints: sudden 50-pip moves that trap retail traders on the wrong side, stop-loss raids that clear out weak positions before reversing direction.
The wolves understand something most traders don’t – forex is a zero-sum game. Every pip you lose, someone else gains. They position themselves at key support and resistance levels, waiting for retail sentiment to reach extremes. When 85% of traders are long EUR/USD at 1.1200 resistance, the wolves are already positioned short, ready to feast on the inevitable reversal. They don’t predict markets – they manipulate them within the bounds of massive capital deployment.
Learning from the Ants: Small, Consistent, Disciplined
My ant friends have taught me more about successful trading than any $2,000 course ever could. They don’t swing for home runs. They don’t risk their entire colony on one food source. Each ant carries a small load, follows the established path, and contributes to the collective success. This is position sizing in its purest form.
Successful forex trading mirrors this approach perfectly. Risk 1-2% per trade maximum. Build your account methodically, pip by pip, trade by trade. The ants don’t get emotional when rain washes away their trail – they simply rebuild and continue forward. When GBP/JPY gaps against you after unexpected Bank of England news, you take the controlled loss and prepare for the next setup. No revenge trading, no doubling down, no emotional attachments to being right.
The ants also understand seasonality and cycles. They prepare for winter, store resources during abundance, and adapt their behavior to environmental changes. Currency markets have their own seasons – dollar strength cycles, risk-on/risk-off rotations, and central bank policy cycles. Smart traders position themselves accordingly, building cash reserves during uncertain periods and deploying capital when high-probability setups align.
The Supporting Cast: Bulls, Bears, and Bottom Feeders
Every trading day brings encounters with the full menagerie. The bulls charge forward during risk-on sessions, pushing commodity currencies like AUD/USD and NZD/USD higher as global growth optimism returns. They’re momentum players, trend followers who pile into moves after they’re already established. Useful for riding trends but dangerous when their stampede approaches exhaustion levels.
Bears hibernate until their moment arrives – then they maul with vicious efficiency. They emerge during crisis periods, economic uncertainty, and dovish central bank surprises. The Swiss National Bank’s 2015 EUR/CHF peg removal was pure bear territory. USD/CHF moved 1,500 pips in minutes, destroying over-leveraged accounts and claiming institutional victims. Bears remind us why proper risk management isn’t optional – it’s survival.
Then come the rats and roaches – the bottom feeders who profit from chaos. They’re scalpers and news traders who feast on volatility scraps left behind by major moves. While others panic during NFP releases or FOMC announcements, these creatures thrive in the disorder, making quick profits from widened spreads and erratic price action.
Your Role in This Ecosystem
The question isn’t whether you’ll encounter these creatures – it’s which one you’ll become. Most retail traders unconsciously choose to be prey, entering the markets under-capitalized and over-confident. They become the wolves’ lunch money, the fuel for institutional profit machines.
But you can choose differently. Study the ants’ discipline while respecting the wolves’ power. Understand that major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY are battlegrounds where trillion-dollar forces clash daily. Position yourself accordingly – small size, proper stops, realistic expectations.
The forex jungle operates on simple rules: survival of the most disciplined, adaptation to changing conditions, and respect for forces larger than yourself. Choose your animal persona wisely, because in this digital wilderness, evolution happens in real-time, measured in pips and account balances.
Hey Kong – EUR/USD taking a beating…. any thoughts?
Understanding that the EUR is 57% of the basket and not on the commodity side – there is still a direct correlation with a higher EUR and rising commodities.
Looking to take a quick trade tomorrow on USLV if a squeeze play presents its self…
Need to dump my lottery ticket purchased Thursday – Nov-17 – SLV 30.50 Calls @ $.97…. Friday may have been the day to pull out… topped @ $1.47
Yes…Ive stayed away from trading the EUR for the most part – as its news flow / and direct inverse relationship to the dollar has made it a fools game as the dollar seeks its high. RIsk on behavavior will have the dollar sold – and in turn others shall rise – EUR included so…..
I took a brief shot at it last week at 1.2770 with a 200 pip stop – but blew it out anyway – here I see this morning – even better opportunity to enter long – I will take another shot today/ tomorrow.
I am looking to “re enter” long EUR here as of this morning likely – as its still just the inverse of the dollar finding its high and reversing, as with commods in general. As the dollar is sold…most all other currencies value will rise…commodities prices as well. We are so close now so……
Kong – interested – what strike on the NUGT – March calls…
On a 100% gamble (I wont even blink if the trade goes south on me – as the money has already been set aside – assuming it goes to zero) Ive got the March 20’s.
Being this close to the turn, with gold on the move – Im not worried at all. We will most certainly get the move loooooong before March.I like to have a bit of fun once in a while too – considering how disciplined my trading is.
Funny.. I just finished posting some very similar thoughts on my blog. The market is a game of fools and only the smartest of fools can win. I was using the idea of chart analysis being “mass psychology” analysis rather than that of “price analysis”. Charts allow you to see how other people think. If you can get into that mindset, then you can determine whether you’re an ant or a wolf..
I enjoy your posts.. so keep em coming!
Blackwell.
Sorry but I missed your post as it was flagged for spam (at this time I am not accepting any external links…none so…) thanks for stopping in and reading – please don’t be a stranger. I agree with you 100% about charts and the masses – where else can you find the combined decions of millions of people made at one time – all laid out so nicely..its amazing really.