In the new year I plan to start a series “future kong” where I will be highlighting new technologies and cutting edge concepts primed for future investment, as well as researching the companies involved.
If you haven’t already heard of “graphene” you’d better listen up.
What is graphene?
Graphene is a revolutionary carbon based material made of a single layer of carbon atoms that are bonded together in a repeating pattern of hexagons. Graphene is one million times thinner than paper. So thin in fact…….that it is actually considered two dimensional.
Paradoxically, Graphene is also said to be the strongest material every made. So strong in fact, that if we rolled out a single sheet ( less than the thickness of plastic wrap ) and could balance an elephant on the head of a pencil – the tip could not break through.Yes…….that kind of strong.
Graphene’s special properties don’t stop there…not even close:
- Conductive: Electrons are the particles that make up electricity. So when graphene allows electrons to move quickly, it is allowing electricity to move quickly. It is known to move electrons 200 times faster than silicon because they travel with such little interruption. It is also an excellent heat conductor. Graphene is conductive independent of temperature and works normally at room temperature.
- Strong: As mentioned earlier, it would take an elephant with excellent balance to break through a sheet of graphene. It is very strong due to its unbroken pattern and the strong bonds between the carbon atoms. Even when patches of graphene are stitched together, it remains the strongest material out there.
- Flexible: Those strong bonds between graphene’s carbon atoms are also very flexible. They can be twisted, pulled and curved to a certain extent without breaking, which means graphene is bendable and stretchable.
- Transparent: Graphene absorbs 2.3 percent of the visible light that hits it, which means you can see through it without having to deal with any glare.
With only about 10 years of practical research thus far, the real world applications are endless, including production of solar cells “hundreds of thousands of times thinner and lighter” than those that rely on silicon, more efficient computer transistors, “bendable electronics”, applications in engineering/building as well space aeronautics – and the list goes on.
So far there are a few companies worth taking a look at as early adopters / movers in the space.
Graftech International Ltd. ( symbol GTI ) is on my radar, looking for a pullback since its recent break out.
Trading the Graphene Revolution: Currency Impact and Investment Strategies
Currency Correlation Plays in the Materials Revolution
When breakthrough technologies like graphene hit mainstream adoption, smart forex traders position themselves ahead of the currency flows that inevitably follow. The graphene boom isn’t just about individual stocks – it’s about entire national economies pivoting toward next-generation manufacturing. China currently dominates global graphene production, controlling roughly 60% of patents and manufacturing capacity. This gives the Chinese yuan significant leverage as graphene applications scale up. Watch for CNY strength against commodity currencies like AUD and CAD when graphene production ramps hit the headlines. The correlation isn’t obvious to retail traders, but institutional money flows follow these supply chain advantages religiously.
European Union nations, particularly Germany and the UK, are pouring billions into graphene research initiatives. The EU’s Graphene Flagship project represents the largest research initiative in European history with a budget exceeding €1 billion. As these investments translate into commercial applications, expect EUR strength against currencies tied to traditional materials and older manufacturing processes. The British pound faces an interesting dynamic here – post-Brexit, the UK is doubling down on high-tech manufacturing as a competitive advantage. GBP/JPY could see sustained upward pressure as Japanese companies scramble to license British graphene innovations.
Sector Rotation and Cross-Asset Implications
The graphene revolution triggers massive sector rotation that creates predictable forex opportunities. Traditional materials companies face obsolescence, while early adopters capture explosive growth. This rotation shows up first in equity markets, then ripples through currencies based on each nation’s exposure to winning versus losing sectors. Countries heavily invested in steel production, traditional semiconductors, and legacy solar panel manufacturing face headwinds. This means currencies like KRW and TWD could weaken as South Korea and Taiwan’s established tech sectors face disruption from graphene-based alternatives.
Smart money follows the innovation centers. Silicon Valley venture capital is flooding into graphene startups, but the real action is happening in Manchester, UK, where graphene was first isolated and commercialized. The University of Manchester’s National Graphene Institute is spinning out companies faster than the market can price them. This concentration of innovation creates sustained capital flows into GBP, particularly against currencies of countries playing catch-up in materials science. Watch for unusual strength in GBP/CHF as Swiss precision manufacturing companies acquire British graphene technology firms.
Central Bank Policy and Strategic Material Considerations
Central bankers understand that graphene represents more than just another tech trend – it’s a strategic material that could redefine national competitiveness. Countries without domestic graphene capabilities face potential supply chain vulnerabilities similar to rare earth dependencies. This reality is already influencing monetary policy discussions, though most traders haven’t connected these dots yet. The Federal Reserve’s recent emphasis on “reshoring critical supply chains” includes next-generation materials like graphene.
Expect coordinated policy responses that favor currencies of graphene-producing nations. When the next global supply chain crisis hits, countries with advanced materials capabilities will have significant advantages. The Bank of England has quietly begun discussing “strategic technology reserves” in policy papers, while the People’s Bank of China views graphene dominance as a key pillar of yuan internationalization. These policy undercurrents create long-term directional biases that persistent traders can exploit through carry positions and option strategies.
Timing the Graphene Trade Setup
The key to trading the graphene revolution lies in identifying inflection points where laboratory breakthroughs translate into commercial reality. Most forex traders miss these setups because they focus on traditional economic indicators instead of technology adoption curves. Graphene is approaching the crucial “valley of death” phase where promising research either scales to mass production or dies in development hell. Companies like Graftech International represent the first wave, but the real currency impact comes when major corporations integrate graphene into consumer products.
Position for the announcement cycles around major graphene commercialization milestones. Samsung’s graphene battery development could trigger massive flows into KRW when production timelines are announced. Tesla’s potential adoption of graphene in vehicle manufacturing would create sustained USD strength against currencies of countries still tied to traditional automotive supply chains. The trick is maintaining positions through the inevitable volatility while these technologies move from proof-of-concept to mass market adoption. Risk management becomes crucial when trading multi-year technology adoption cycles through currency markets.