Gold And Silver – A Second Chance To Win

In the wake of President Trump´s “trouncing”of Hilary Clinton, markets have been less than kind to our beloved gold and silver mining stocks. But wait…..

The Daily Chart of IMG

second_chance_in_gold_and_silver

second_chance_in_gold_and_silver

Stepping back and looking at the bigger picture, one can most certainly see that “all is not lost”. In fact….as I continue to build positions in one little gem in particular ( IMG ) we can look at recent days movement in the stock ( and in my view the entire metals complex ) as an excellent “opportunity” to take your shot, likely having missed out on my last buy some weeks ago.

Keep in mind the time frame here, ands “how long it has taken” for this stock to:

  1. Finish it’s downtrend: If you consider October 10th “the bottom” we can see price movement “gradually” heading in the upward direction, but it’s not until the green box that an experienced / seasoned trader / chart reader can honestly “confirm”….
  2. Uptrend has been established: Why you ask?? Because the series of “lower lows and lower highs” ( the zig motion of assets in a downtrend ) is now broken with the establishment of a “higher high”. It’s this signal that essentially “confirms that the downtrend has ended” but then of course you get this….
  3. The first major pullback in a newly established uptrend: It’s the stock market right? Everything generally moves opposite to what the majority of traders are thinking / doing so it only makes sense to see a major “dump” directly following confirmation of a new trend right?? This is so basic, so common and such a standard that many an experienced trader develops plans to “always look to buy on the first major pullback in a newly established uptrend”.

You can see how the levels so closely match those of the previous downtrend ( the orange line across the chart ) as the same levels that once offered resistance, now offer support ( see what happens when you start marking your price levels! ) with this major reversal looking something like a big huge “W”.

Price could just as easily stick around these levels for some days, but if traditional technical charting is worth a damn….this would be an absolutely fantastic place to take a shot at entry, as I am adding to my current position here at 4.98.

The expected “pop n drop” post-election looks to have run it’s course, and I would expect that both gold and Euro will continue to move higher, with stocks and $USD finally topping out. Opportunity abound my people….all you need to do is pull the trigger and keep yourselves protected.

Hope it helps. Have a great weekend everyone.

Kong. Gone.

Gold Mining – We Humans Like To Dig

In light of the recent ( and suggested ) pullback in Gold and Silver Mining Stocks…

I had to pull out an “oldy but a goodie”. Makes me laugh looking back….

Looking ahead……..this pullback and continued build of small gold and silver miners should prove to be very, very profitable.

Forex_Kong_Face_Book

Gold And Silver Miners – You Missed The Boat

Not to say there isn’t considerable medium / long-term opportunity in the miners ( cuz there is ! ) – you may have missed the boat.

This chart will make your head spin as……the gains have been nuts. Even Gary Savage ( apparently ) got this one right.

 

Pullback_Exected_in_Gold_and_Silver

Pullback_Exected_in_Gold_and_Silver

Short term – I would encourage you to just stay put, but as I’ve always said – Get this stuff on your radar! You need to identify levels, plot support and resistance on your charts, keep a pad of paper by the computer for f@*k sake!

Consider “post election” as a fantastic time to enter, as we are obviously over extended here. But get a list together! Make a plan! It won’t matter if the people of the Unite States vote for – the puppet or the clown.

Gold/Silver will both head for the moon as the entire planet completely freaks out.

Gold Smashed This A.M – No Worries At All

At this point in the game I have little concern for the price of gold as it’s trading almost exactly in tandem with the Japanese Yen ( JPY ) – both functioning as obvious “safe havens”.

These assets obviously gain momentum when “risk comes off” and considering that markets are now re testing the near term highs – what should one expect? ( insert lightbulb above head here )

The average investor, caught in the headlights of the main stream media and The Fed is certainly not “seeking safety” here as of this morning

Appreciate that nearly everything I track is stretched to extremes right now and rightfully so as…we are so very close to one of the largest turns this market will have seen in a very long time.

Why would  gold be any different? A couple bucks here and a couple bucks there – not to worry.

These low volume days ( some of the lowest volume days of the year ) are legendary for getting people excited / worried as prices in “all assets” swing to extremes, washing out weak hands, luring in new buyers etc…

It’s always this way before a major turn in markets as the boys at your local brokerage / bank take the opportunity to push prices “as far in their favor as possible” before dumping.

September has everyone back in their cubicles. Likely back in their cubicles selling stocks and buying gold.

Gold is good – just not particularly “speedy” here at the moment.

Kong Buys – Gold And Silver Miners Galore

I’ve started a small portfolio ( actually via Kong Senior up North with his “Canadian loonies” – Hey pop!) including the following names, and harken back to a post from the “grand productive days” before all this blogging and investing got so “serious”.

MUX, ANV, EXK, LSG, AGI

Mining – Could It Be In Our Genes?

Could the ancient astronaut theory hold true?

That thousands of years ago celestial visitors came to our planet in search of materials needed for their very survival – and in realizing the difficulties in extracting these materials from the ground, developed modern man to essentially do the hard work for them? When you really think about it…..it’s really not that far off.

As a young boy I remember a hoax that played out at my elementary school. A group of the older kids had painted a bunch of small rocks with gold model paint and hid them out in the sand of the school’s playground. Once the word got out….I recall the excitement and anticipation sitting there in my tiny desk, staring at the clock, squirming in my chair, waiting for the bell to ring. “Gold! Gold! – they’ve found gold in the playground!”.

We’d trip over ourselves racing out the door – eager to be the first to lay our hands on even the smallest spec of the glorious stuff. We spent hours on our hands and knees sifting, searching for our fortunes.

In the end…….I never found a single piece.

A silly young boy indeed –  but is it really any different now as adults?

Maybe mining is in our genes.

We’ll see how these little nuggets pay off here in a couple of months.

 

Gold Going Down – Snake Oil Salesmen As Well

How is it that you continue to flush your money down the toilet?

It’s been pointed out here time and time again that “gold is not a trade” yet you continue to “buy the snake oil” these chicken shit / bullshit / con artist / “financial bloggers” keep selling you.

Perhaps you’ve gotten lazy, and have put your trust in others to “navigate the mine field for you” well……..

That’s just plain stupid.

Gold is going lower because ( big fat light bulb above your head )……Gold is going lower.

I’m not “selling you the reason”. I don’t need a chart.

You’ve got to stop looking for the “freebie” ( as you lose your ass ) and start looking at some of this stuff for yourselves.

What could some “clown in a desert” possibly know about the future of Gold – that you can’t just as easily figure out for yourself?

Blank stare…head scratch….akward silence…..dead air…….

……….

Exactly.

 

 

 

The Gold Con Game: Why Smart Money Left Years Ago

Let’s cut through the noise and talk about what’s actually happening in the precious metals market. While retail traders keep getting suckered into gold positions, institutional money has been quietly rotating into assets that actually move. The writing’s been on the wall for months, but apparently some of you need it spelled out in crayon.

Gold isn’t money anymore. It’s a psychological security blanket for people who refuse to adapt to modern market realities. Central banks aren’t backing currencies with gold reserves – they’re manipulating rates, printing currency, and playing geopolitical chess games. The smart money figured this out and moved on.

Currency Debasement Doesn’t Equal Gold Rallies

Here’s where most of you get it completely backwards. You think currency weakness automatically means gold strength. That’s old-school thinking from a different era. Modern markets don’t work that way. When the USD weakness plays out, money flows into risk assets that actually generate returns – tech stocks, crypto, emerging markets.

Gold just sits there like a pet rock while real opportunities pass you by. The correlation between dollar weakness and gold strength broke down years ago, but the financial blogosphere keeps pushing the same tired narrative because it sells subscriptions and courses.

The Retail Psychology Trap

Every time gold drops, you get these “buy the dip” cheerleaders coming out of the woodwork. They’ll show you charts from the 1970s and tell you about hyperinflation scenarios that aren’t coming. Meanwhile, the actual inflation hedge trades are happening in completely different markets.

The problem isn’t that you’re wrong about economic fundamentals – the problem is you’re fighting the last war. Today’s monetary system operates on different rules, and gold is increasingly irrelevant to how modern liquidity flows work.

Where Smart Money Actually Goes

While you’re nursing gold losses, institutional money is rotating into assets with actual growth potential. Technology continues disrupting every industry. Emerging market currencies offer real yield opportunities. Even crypto has found its footing as a legitimate asset class after years of wild speculation.

The market bottom signals aren’t coming from precious metals – they’re coming from sectors that actually matter to global capital flows. Gold might bounce occasionally, but those are dead cat bounces in a longer-term downtrend.

Stop Being Someone Else’s Exit Liquidity

Every time you buy gold on these “dips,” you’re providing exit liquidity for smarter money that saw this trend change coming months ago. The big players accumulated their positions years back and have been distributing to retail ever since.

This isn’t about being bearish or bullish – it’s about recognizing when a trade thesis has fundamentally changed. The macroeconomic conditions that drove gold higher in previous decades simply don’t exist anymore. Central bank policy, global trade dynamics, and capital flow patterns have all evolved.

If you want to keep throwing money at a declining asset because some blogger told you it’s “real money,” that’s your choice. But don’t pretend you weren’t warned. The trend is clear, the fundamentals have shifted, and the opportunity cost of holding gold versus literally any growth asset continues expanding.

Wake up, adapt to current market realities, and stop letting these gold pumpers pick your pocket. There are actual opportunities out there – but you won’t find them by clinging to outdated investment philosophies from a bygone era.

Gold and USD – Passing In The Night

With the expected move out of USD coming together over night, we’ve seen more than enough follow through here to confirm what was suggested yesterday.

Stocks won’t hang on here, and I expect the power of the U.S Dollar “repatriation trade” to flatten gold here as well.

For those of you “investor types” I imagine you’ve come this far so a couple more months ( and perhaps further drawdown ) as gold slides into “its final leg lower” likely won’t kill you.

However for those looking at gold,silver and the related mining stocks as a trade….unfortunately – I see lower prices – before higher.

This is no “small blip” as far as USD is concerned, likely marking a significant turn “not only in the currency” but “in all” that it affects.

So far only the European currencies have taken the initial hit, but it won’t be too long now til we see the Canadian Dollar, as well Australian and New Zealand follow suit, and I’m not talking about a trade here……I’m talking about a major shift over the medium and even long-term investment horizons.

Top call still very much so “intact” here as of today – with the “Members of Kong” doing very nicely in our first month working together. Feel free to poke around the members site, and hey….you can even join us if you’d like. I’d take an additional 20 if you want to contact me over the weekend at : [email protected]

Have a great weekend everyone! It’s sun sun sunshine here!

 

 

The USD Repatriation Trade: More Than Just a Currency Move

What we’re witnessing isn’t just another routine dollar rally. This is the beginning of a fundamental shift in global capital flows that will reshape every major asset class for the next 12-18 months. The repatriation trade represents American corporations and institutions pulling their overseas capital back home, creating a vacuum effect that’s already crushing European currencies and will soon demolish the commodity-linked pairs.

The mechanics are simple but devastating. When multinationals repatriate foreign earnings, they’re selling euros, pounds, yen, and everything else to buy dollars. This isn’t speculative money looking for quick profits – this is structural capital movement that creates sustained pressure. The European currencies took the first hit because that’s where the largest pools of repatriable capital sit, but the commodity currencies are next in line for execution.

Why Gold Can’t Escape the Dollar’s Gravity

Gold bugs keep waiting for their moment, expecting the yellow metal to break free from dollar correlation and resume its bull run. They’re going to wait a long time. When the dollar strengthens on repatriation flows, it creates a double-hit on gold: first, the stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers, and second, the flow of capital back into dollar-denominated assets reduces the hedge demand for precious metals.

The final leg lower in gold isn’t just about technical patterns or seasonal weakness. It’s about the fundamental reality that when American capital comes home, it doesn’t buy gold – it buys Treasury bonds, domestic equities, and dollar-denominated real estate. This isn’t a temporary dip to buy; it’s a structural headwind that will persist until the repatriation cycle exhausts itself.

The Commodity Currency Massacre Ahead

The Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, and New Zealand dollar are living on borrowed time. These currencies have been propped up by lingering hopes of Chinese stimulus and base metal strength, but that support is about to evaporate. As USD strength accelerates, commodity currencies face a perfect storm: falling commodity prices, reduced demand for risk assets, and capital flows moving away from resource-based economies.

CAD/USD breaking below key support levels isn’t just a technical event – it’s confirmation that the market is pricing in a sustained period of American economic outperformance relative to commodity-dependent neighbors. The Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Canada are already behind the curve on this shift, and their policy responses will only accelerate the decline.

Strategic Positioning for the New Reality

This isn’t about catching a bounce or trading oversold conditions. The repatriation trade is a medium-term structural theme that requires strategic positioning, not tactical trades. Dollar strength will be accompanied by relative American equity outperformance, particularly in sectors that benefit from domestic capital allocation: technology, healthcare, and financial services.

International diversification – the holy grail of portfolio management for the past two decades – is about to become a performance drag. Money managers who’ve been preaching the virtues of emerging market exposure and European value plays are going to watch their benchmarks get destroyed by simple domestic equity exposure. The market rally we’re entering isn’t just about seasonal patterns; it’s about structural capital reallocation favoring American assets.

The currency moves we’ve seen so far are just the opening act. When this repatriation cycle reaches full momentum, we’ll see currency dislocations that make the current European weakness look mild. Emerging market currencies that have held up relatively well will face their reckoning as dollar strength accelerates and global risk appetite contracts. This is the type of structural shift that defines investment returns for years, not months.

Chinese Fire Sale – U.S Dollar Up In Smoke

Make no mistake…China “will” take the hit on those warehouses filled with “useless dollar bills”, or at least what’s left of them by the time they’ve used all they can to buy gold.

As the “macro plans” continue to take shape, the Chinese will soon look back on the “massive fires that raged through the warehouse district” as a passing story in the news – in the context of a “time of change”.

Consider trading hockey cards with a couple of the other kids on your street. All of the same set and series, until a month or two later a new set is introduced and you start trading those. More kids are buying and trading these “new cards” until finally – all you’re left with is a tiny box of the “old ones” eating up precious storage space under your bed.

Eventually you forget all about them, as the trade of these “new cards” now has you buying and trading with little concern for the “few dollars lost” on the inventory of “old cards” gathering mold underneath your bed.

I think that sums it up.

As China continues to grow its domestic economy, and promote trade in Yuan as opposed to the U.S Dollar, it’s really only a matter of time until both China as well “a large portion of the industrialized world” separates completely from any dependence on a U.S imposed system of trade in U.S Dollars.

We good here?

No terrorism here. No “bash America” / China to rule the world type thing no.

Just a simple outline of how a couple of countries on this planet have grown to be less “export dependent” and more “domestically driven” and far less interested in the purchase and hold of U.S “funny money”- with the unfortunate result leaving The United States and it’s continued devaluation of the U.S Dollar  – out in the cold.

As the Fed continues to “mask” the true devaluation of the U.S Dollar by shorting the gold paper market and driving prices down, China gladly scoops up every ounce she can – demanding “actual delivery of the physical gold”.

China will continue to not only produce more gold, but as well purchase more gold “on the cheap” with every single “Fed raid in the paper market” to soon present the Yuan as a completely convertible currency on the global stage.

Complete with stockpiles of “real gold” sitting in vast warehouses behind it…..somewhere on the other side of the tracks.

So what does this mean for the future of the U.S Dollar and it’s use as the worlds reserve currency? What does this mean for the massive amounts of money previously gained by the U.S via the “use” of USD in trade world wide – soon to be lost?

 

 

The Yuan’s Rise and the Dollar’s Inevitable Fall

The writing isn’t just on the wall—it’s carved in stone. China’s systematic accumulation of physical gold while dumping dollar reserves represents the most calculated currency transition in modern history. This isn’t speculation anymore. It’s mathematics.

Every Fed paper raid on gold prices hands China another opportunity to exchange worthless digital dollars for real, physical wealth. They’re not just buying gold—they’re buying the foundation of the next global monetary system. While Western central banks play games with derivatives and paper contracts, China demands delivery. Physical metal. Real wealth.

The Reserve Currency Death Spiral

Reserve currency status dies slowly, then all at once. The U.S. has enjoyed decades of monetary privilege—printing dollars and watching the world accept them as payment for real goods. That free ride is ending. China’s domestic economy now provides the scale to operate independently of dollar-denominated trade.

When nations can trade directly in yuan backed by gold reserves instead of dollars backed by promises, the choice becomes obvious. The petrodollar system crumbles when the world’s largest oil importer offers gold-backed yuan as an alternative. Physics always wins over politics in the end.

The Federal Reserve knows this. Every suppression of gold prices through paper manipulation is desperation disguised as control. They’re fighting a losing battle against economic gravity. Dollar weakness isn’t temporary—it’s structural and permanent.

Gold: The Ultimate Currency Reset

Gold doesn’t lie. It can’t be printed, manipulated, or created from thin air. China understands what the West forgot—real money has intrinsic value. Paper currencies are promises. Gold is performance.

The current gold-to-dollar ratio tells the whole story. Historically suppressed gold prices make every Chinese purchase a bargain basement acquisition of monetary supremacy. They’re not investing—they’re positioning for the inevitable repricing when paper games end and reality returns.

Central banks worldwide are following China’s lead, quietly accumulating gold reserves while publicly supporting the dollar system. They know what’s coming. Smart money doesn’t wait for CNN to announce the transition—it positions before the crowd realizes the game changed.

Trading the Transition

This macro shift creates massive opportunities for traders who see beyond the headlines. Currency pairs reflect these underlying power dynamics. Dollar strength against major currencies masks weakness against real assets.

The yuan’s gradual appreciation against the dollar isn’t market sentiment—it’s economic destiny. China’s trade surpluses, gold accumulation, and domestic growth create unstoppable momentum. China’s accumulation of physical assets while others hold paper promises will determine the next decade’s winners and losers.

Gold-backed currencies will outperform debt-backed currencies. It’s not ideology—it’s accounting. You can’t print your way to prosperity forever. Eventually, the bills come due.

The Endgame Approaches

The transition won’t be announced on financial television. It’ll happen quietly, through bilateral trade agreements, currency swaps, and resource deals denominated in yuan. Each agreement reduces global dollar demand while increasing yuan utility.

When the tipping point arrives—when more international trade occurs in yuan than dollars—the reversal will be swift and brutal. Decades of accumulated dollar reserves will flood back to America, creating the inflation that makes Weimar Germany look like a practice round.

China’s patient strategy wins through persistence, not drama. They don’t need to defeat the dollar system—they just need to build a better alternative and wait for economic gravity to do the rest. The warehouse fires consuming worthless paper won’t even make the evening news. By then, everyone will be too busy trading the new currency to remember what the old one was called.

The Nixon Shock – Gold, China And USD

I want to explain something, that I think most of you will find beneficial ( much of the material reworded from Wikipedia ) as well bring it “up to speed” as to what it means in today’s day and age. This might go on for a couple of posts.

After WWII the “international financial powers that be” agreed to create a system wherein the U.S Dollar was placed deliberately as the anchor of the system, with the US government guaranteeing that every US dollar held in reserve – could be exchanged at a fixed rate for gold.

Everyone agreed to use a single currency ( the U.S Dollar ) for international trade, and that those dollars could be exchanged for a “fixed rate of 35 dollars” for an ounce of gold.

This is what is meant by a “gold backed” currency, providing holders of that currency the “confidence” that the pieces of paper in their hands are “actually worth something”…that something being gold.

For every dollar on the planet an equal amount / value in gold, should the holder of that dollar choose to own gold instead.

Got it? Excellent.

This made things “relatively” straight forward as countries around the world “pegged” their local currency to the U.S Dollar, and the U.S Dollar was pegged to the price of gold.

Price “stability” had been established.

So for the first years after World War II, the system worked well as foreigners wanted dollars in order to  spend on American goods such as cars, steel “manufactured” in the U.S.

The U.S. owned over half the world’s official gold reserves ( 574 million ounces at the end of World War II ) so the system appeared secure.

Well….by around 1966 ( due to excessive spending by the U.S for the Vietnam War as well many domestic programs ) the U.S realized that foreign banks reserves had grown to about $14 billion dollars, while the United States had only $13.2 billion in gold reserve. Of those reserves, only $3.2 billion was able to cover foreign holdings as the rest was covering domestic holdings.

essentially the U.S had printed ” a few too many dollars” to cover the actual amount of physical gold held in their vaults.

Soon foreign countries ( holding depreciating USD ) began demanding redemption of these dollars for “real gold”. Switzerland redeemed $50 million, then France acquired $191 million etc until finally on the afternoon of Friday, August 13, 1971 President Nixon “literally pulled the rug out from under the system” ( The Nixon Shock ) and closed the gold window – forbidding foreign holders of U.S Dollars from exchanging them for gold, essentially “sticking foreign holders of U.S Dollars” with a currency now set to be dramatically devalued.

The Nixon Shock unleashed enormous speculation against the dollar as you can imagine. With no gold behind them, the value of “boatloads” of U.S Dollars distributed world wide……..now put into question.

I promise I’ll skip the middle part…and get this up to what’s happening in the world “right now” with China’s movement/interests  in particular.

 

 

 

The Collapse of Bretton Woods: Birth of the Modern Currency Wars

That moment in 1971 changed everything. Nixon didn’t just close the gold window—he unleashed a monetary free-for-all that’s still raging today. Without the gold anchor, currencies became weapons in an economic war where central banks could print their way out of any problem. Or so they thought.

The Immediate Aftermath: Currency Chaos

The Nixon Shock created the floating exchange rate system we live with today. Suddenly, currency values weren’t tied to anything tangible—they floated on perception, politics, and manipulation. Countries could devalue their way to competitive advantage, but this game had consequences. The dollar, freed from gold constraints, began its long journey toward becoming pure debt-backed paper.

Foreign holders of dollars got stuck with depreciating assets overnight. France and Switzerland saw this coming, which is why they rushed to convert their dollars to gold before Nixon slammed the door. Smart money always moves first. The rest got left holding the bag—a lesson that echoes today as nations quietly diversify away from dollar reserves.

The Petrodollar System: The Next Chapter of Control

By 1974, the U.S. struck a deal with Saudi Arabia that would prop up the dollar for decades. Oil would be priced and sold exclusively in dollars, creating artificial demand for the greenback. Countries needed dollars to buy energy, so they had to hold dollar reserves. Brilliant move—except it required military backing and constant economic coercion to maintain.

This petrodollar recycling system gave the U.S. the “exorbitant privilege” of printing money to buy real goods from other nations. But privilege built on coercion has an expiration date. We’re watching that system crack in real-time as major oil producers begin accepting other currencies and central banks accumulate alternatives to dollar reserves.

Digital Gold and the New Monetary Reality

Today’s monetary system faces the same fundamental problem that killed Bretton Woods—too much debt, too much printing, and not enough real backing. The difference now is that alternatives exist. Bitcoin represents digital gold that no government can confiscate or devalue through printing. Nations are starting to understand this.

When strategic reserves include Bitcoin alongside traditional assets, it signals the same loss of confidence in the dollar system that drove countries to demand gold conversion in the 1960s. History doesn’t repeat, but it sure as hell rhymes.

The Modern Currency War: What It Means for Traders

Understanding this history gives you the context for today’s currency movements. The dollar’s strength isn’t based on economic fundamentals—it’s based on the fact that there hasn’t been a viable alternative. That’s changing rapidly. Central bank digital currencies, gold accumulation by Eastern nations, and the rise of Bitcoin are all responses to the same underlying problem: fiat currencies backed by nothing but promises.

Every time you see USD weakness, remember you’re watching the slow-motion collapse of a system that’s been built on printing money since 1971. The trade opportunities are massive for those who understand the bigger picture.

Smart traders position themselves ahead of these tectonic shifts. The dollar may have decades of momentum behind it, but momentum eventually meets reality. And reality is that unlimited money printing eventually destroys the currency doing the printing. Nixon bought the U.S. fifty years of kicking the can down the road. That road is ending, and the next monetary system is already being built by those who learned from history.

The gold window closed in 1971, but a new window is opening—one that leads to a monetary system based on mathematics rather than political promises. Get positioned accordingly.