Stocks And Currencies – Major Shake In 2017

It clearly looks like this will stretch into the new year…….before we see a major turn in both currency and equities markets. Money is pouring into silver and gold with the gold miners ( and gold complex in general ) finally showing us not only the daily cycle low….but quite possibly the “yearly” cycle low as well.

 

Gold_Miners_Bottomed

Gold_Miners_Bottomed

This makes for some pretty solid trades as……The EUR will bottom along side gold and silver, the U.S Dollar slowly rolls over for extended losses and equities make a solid correction.

Sound about right? This is EXACTLY how I am positioned with short trades in USD/JPY, long silver and gold miners ( GPL bought at 1.27 ) as well limping into further “long JPY” ideas / shorting the commods ( AUD,NZD and CAD ) with marijuana companies holding tough.

End of the year selling, and who knows what other “market shenanigans” playing out these last days of 2016. I see a large-scale correction first half of January 2017.

Canopy Growth Corp – Marijuana Soon Legal in Canada

Canada has recently released it’s plan to formally legalize the sale of Marijuana. The Marijuana related stocks have already taken off, but there are literally “opportunities abound” here in coming months. I strongly recommend that you start doing some company research NOW as these things are set for “stellar growth” through 2017.

Canopy Growth Corp being the largest player in the sector.

Canopy_Growth_Corp_Chart

Canopy_Growth_Corp_Chart

These companies ( and stocks ) are currently on fire, with the initial rush now over….providing a fantastic pullback and entry opportunity coming here soon.

Start getting a watch list together / ask me for further suggestions as these things should shoot for the moon as Canada finalizes it’s plan.

This is happening. This will happen in 2017.

Spot Silver Getting Close – Area Of Support Identified

The spot price of Silver is now reaching an area of considerable support.

The near term “five month fall” from 19.50 – some 20% drop…now looking like a great place to start thinking about buying.

silver_chart

spot_silver_chart

Start “thinking about buying”  –  not taking out a second mortgage and going all in (this would be ridiculous) as you can’t really argue with the chart. If you’ve been patiently waiting (as I have ) to see the precious metals not only bottom….but actually start moving higher….you can’t argue with the chart.

Maybe 15 bucks is the low, who can say for certain but the “area of price” is starting to look attractive for longer term buy and hold on Silver.

It’s boring I know. ” Hey guys I just picked up some silver, and it hasn’t moved in price forever!” – Nice work Kong. You really rocked that silver trade.

Gimme a break………

Take it for what it is….as you’re too lazy to pull the chart yourselves, just sitting and waiting for your broker to call you. Stick it. He’s too busy counting his commissions.

Spot Silver opportunity – something to be aware of.

 

 

Dollar Top – Tomorrow On Follow

One can only wonder how “positive for markets” a 7.5 Earthquake off the coast of Fukushima will be ( no sarcasm there )

Regardless…..USD topping out for the long plunge over the next several weeks.

I’m jumpin on board here shortly, and will likely get picked up sub 99.00 with tonnes of room for lower.

 

usd_topping_out

usd_topping_out

I like the short side, as people freak out and movements are so much bigger.

Steady as she goes…..

 

Gold And Silver – A Second Chance To Win

In the wake of President Trump´s “trouncing”of Hilary Clinton, markets have been less than kind to our beloved gold and silver mining stocks. But wait…..

The Daily Chart of IMG

second_chance_in_gold_and_silver

second_chance_in_gold_and_silver

Stepping back and looking at the bigger picture, one can most certainly see that “all is not lost”. In fact….as I continue to build positions in one little gem in particular ( IMG ) we can look at recent days movement in the stock ( and in my view the entire metals complex ) as an excellent “opportunity” to take your shot, likely having missed out on my last buy some weeks ago.

Keep in mind the time frame here, ands “how long it has taken” for this stock to:

  1. Finish it’s downtrend: If you consider October 10th “the bottom” we can see price movement “gradually” heading in the upward direction, but it’s not until the green box that an experienced / seasoned trader / chart reader can honestly “confirm”….
  2. Uptrend has been established: Why you ask?? Because the series of “lower lows and lower highs” ( the zig motion of assets in a downtrend ) is now broken with the establishment of a “higher high”. It’s this signal that essentially “confirms that the downtrend has ended” but then of course you get this….
  3. The first major pullback in a newly established uptrend: It’s the stock market right? Everything generally moves opposite to what the majority of traders are thinking / doing so it only makes sense to see a major “dump” directly following confirmation of a new trend right?? This is so basic, so common and such a standard that many an experienced trader develops plans to “always look to buy on the first major pullback in a newly established uptrend”.

You can see how the levels so closely match those of the previous downtrend ( the orange line across the chart ) as the same levels that once offered resistance, now offer support ( see what happens when you start marking your price levels! ) with this major reversal looking something like a big huge “W”.

Price could just as easily stick around these levels for some days, but if traditional technical charting is worth a damn….this would be an absolutely fantastic place to take a shot at entry, as I am adding to my current position here at 4.98.

The expected “pop n drop” post-election looks to have run it’s course, and I would expect that both gold and Euro will continue to move higher, with stocks and $USD finally topping out. Opportunity abound my people….all you need to do is pull the trigger and keep yourselves protected.

Hope it helps. Have a great weekend everyone.

Kong. Gone.

Nikkei Down -900 Points – USD Shit Canned

If I’ve said it once, I’ve said it a thousand times! You guys don’t have a chart of The Japanese Nikkei on your radar??

Nikkei Craters

Nikkei Craters

What do you think “Dow Futures” are numb nuts? ( I mean in the most literal sense )

How bout millions of traders waking up on the other side of the planet ( in Japan ) and selling like mad! Now that’s some real fortune-telling there Kong…how can you see the future?

Look to Japan dumb ass (not you my loyal readers of course). I’m talking to the “dumb asses” ( you know very well who you are). The US Dollar now taking the largest one day loss I think I’ve seen in my entire life.

Maybe this bounces back if Clinton manages to pull this out but man..it really doesn’t matter.

I wonder what the gold spike will look like in wake of this full-blown US Dollar crash. Pure money, money, money.

Hang on to your hats gents….gonna be one interesting trading day tomorrow. I might unload my gold and silver trade for huge profit, or I might just sit back and watch the action.

 

 

Failed Cycles Abound – Gold and Euro Win

This market has now taken out some pretty serious support, but now is essentially “too over sold to short”.

With the election looming – it would not be advised to make any large scale trades/investments or decisions as……no one wins come November 8th.

Gold miners bought weeks ago looking great as “king dollar” takes the expected pounding. No rate hike and two nut bars looking to take over the country. How could you possibly consider a “bullish” angle – short of a “pop” and then “ominous drop”?

I’m adding short USD and holding my Gold…..now eyeing “short Canadian housing” as the next big win. Currently researching the best way to hit it.

More on that soon.

dollar-on-fire

dollar-on-fire

 

 

 

Why Are Markets Trading Sideways?

In a general sense……you can’t do shit when markets continue to trade sideways.

It’s very difficult for new traders as……you still feel that you “must keep trading” in order to keep money coming in. Trades go nowhere, you get frustrated…..then you make mistakes. Costly mistakes.

Taking a quick look at the Dow ( going back a few months ) we can see at least the past 8 weeks as virtually “unchanged”. Marketing stuck in the mud a full 8 weeks now.

 

dow_trading_sideways_for_months

dow_trading_sideways_for_months

You can’t “really” trade this, as this small amount of movement leaves little room for profit – and timing entries becomes paramount. You need to recognize it for what it is….and accept it. Then your trades / trading will improve.

I don’t really expect this to change until AFTER the U.S Election / Gong Show finally winds up in November, and will be planning trades accordingly. Smaller orders…lower expectation. More planning for the larger moves expected post elections.

It is what it is…..you’ve just got to learn to recognize it sooner.

 

 

 

 

Understanding USD/JPY – You Know You Need To

With Japan now out of the way….we can clearly see that markets don’t dig it. The Yen is powering higher which is the absolute last thing Japan would like to see.

A strong Yen is terrible for Japan ( as a strong currency is for any nation these days ) and suggests that money is actually flowing “out” of markets – back to the place where it was originally borrowed at 0%.

asimo-is-selling-his-u-s-stocks

asimo-is-selling-his-u-s-stocks

Think about it.

Let’s say you went nuts and borrowed thousands of dollars when the interest rate was 0%, then invested it in U.S Equities hoping you could make a buck. Months later your U.S Equities trades are flat at best, but even more likely sitting at a loss. Then you figure out……hey wait a minute – if we get an interest rate hike here in The States…this market is gonna tank! You sit there thinking…..man I better get the hell out of here, or I am gonna get killed.

Imagine if they actually DO raise rates in the U.S today? You are hooooooped!

How will I pay back all that Yen I borrowed??

So you unwind your trade. You sell your U.S Equities likely at a loss…..then you have to convert the U.S Dollars “back” to Yen ( at a new rate that also hurts ) and finally pay back your loan. This is the fundamental driver behind movement in the currency pair USD/JPY. This is why it’s been tanking since markets “actually topped” back in late 2015. Everything else has been pure distribution as the big boys and heavy hitters unwind their Yen Carry trade, and it’s taken more than a year to quietly do so.

You can see it on the charts  so clearly, and now that USD/JPY is at parity……things could get pretty ugly.

Clear signs that markets have more or less topped out – and have been distributing to retail “hopefuls” for the past full year.

Little mining stocks on fire….just getting started in the larger macro trend people so……go grab a couple!

 

 

Holding All Trades – Bored As Hell

So the number of people who filed for unemployment assistance in the U.S. last week rose less than expected, remaining in territory associated with a healthy labor market, official data showed on Thursday.

In a report, the U.S. Department of Labor said the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending September 10 increased by 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 260,000 from the previous week’s total of 259,000. Analysts expected jobless claims to rise by 6,000 to 265,000 last week.

unemployment-in-america

unemployment-in-america

I love the media spin, framing this as good news….that the number of people without work is rising “less than expected”. Why is it rising at all? Only another quarter million U.S citizens filing for unemployment benefits last week…………..last week!

Talk about waiting for the other show to drop. That´s what I call a recovery.

I´m so deep in profit on long EUR/AUD ( 400 pips ) I will consider taking profits before the weekend. Unfortunately a number of other trades still remain flat…but stops have been moved to break even so….risk has been eliminated.

I´m holding all trades…just bored as hell.