Author: Forex Kong

You Are So Smart – Kong A Fool For Asking

Forex Kong 12 Comments

You gotta love it.

Thousands of visitors per day and I don’t get a single comment / opinion / view on the recent “Trump and the U.S Dollar” post. Not a single one. All the while dorks with nothing better to do,  actually take the time to comment / call me out – insinuating that I’m NOT in Cabo ( actually now at the all inclusive Barcelo in San Jose Del Cabo ) and that for whatever reason…..I’m lying about it. Again you gotta love it.

american gorilla

                                                                            American Gorilla

Every red blooded American has a view on Trump ( good or bad ) as I see them here…flocking to the televisions like bands of hypno-rats…arguing about the colour of his tie and wether or not Melania has fake breasts. Deep man. Deep.

I find it absolutely fascinating that people who likely consider themselves pretty damn smart, have absolutely no clue how the value of the world’s most widely held / reserve currency might affect their investments / lives / future. No clue.

What’s that Kong? You bashing my U.S Dollar? Fork you dude….that’s ‘Merica you talkin ’bout! My American Dollar! Mine ya’ll! Mine!

purchasing-power-of-dollar-chart-2015

Go stuff yourself. This is a currency trading blog people. Check yer ego’s and hand guns at the door please.

In any case….perhaps some casual reading over the weekend.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/history-worlds-reserve-currency-ancient-greece-today

https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-a-reserve-currency-1978926

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/10978178/The-dollars-70-year-dominance-is-coming-to-an-end.html

I am “officially” on holidays.

 

Gold Futures – Up 15 Bucks Overnight

Forex Kong 15 Comments

Gold is up another 15 Dollars overnight so……one can only assume you’ve missed that train.

Like I’ve always said….I’d much rather be early than late, as chasing trades can make your head spin.

The future is looking very bright for gold as “global uncertainty” escalates and “global appetite for risk” wanes. Unfortunately you just can’t have it both ways…unless of course you decide to pick up gold as a hedge ( meaning you purchase an asset that is set to move higher while holding on to assets moving lower ) and hang on to those dividend payers during the long and arduous drawdown coming soon to a theatre near you. I did this once.

I will never do it again.

Kong Is Golden

Kong Is Golden

As a relatively young trader / investor type…I can’t bear the thought of having my money tied up so tight I can’t breathe. Can’t move. Can’t sleep or eat just watching the value of my assets going down, down, down, down further….then down some more. I think we all know this feeling to a certain degree. It can certainly make sense for people a tad older than I as moving theses assets around / pulling apart portfolios and rebuilding again is a bit of a pain but….at least in my view – nothing compared to 3 straight down days -300 on Dow……trapped like a rat, then contemplation of either selling at a loss or holding on for an even larger loss.

Fear and greed baby…..that’s all there is too it. Ride that train in either direction…just don’t miss your stop.

All current trades looking golden. EUR right on. USD falling. Gold on the move.

Quick Update – Kong Buys EUR/USD AGAIN

Forex Kong 1 Comment

I don’t know how many time I’ll have to reiterate.

Small orders…over time……so simple if you can just dump your psychological baggage.

What is the matter with you? Is it not possible to teach an old dog new tricks?

Kong Buys SECOND LOT – EUR/USD at 1.0540 …holds NUGT ( wishing I had an addition million dollars to buy more here at 11.00??? ) If you do so now…..you clearly owe me a commission.

Im out….humanity a very curious thing.

How can it be that a simple system of numbers continues to “defy logic and understanding” – considering it’s been around for like….100 years?

Unreal.

Forex_Kong_Disgusted

Forex_Kong_Ashamed

What Does Trump Want? – USD Strong Or Weak

Forex Kong 4 Comments

Let’s ask ourselves a few very simple questions. On a fundamental level…

What do you think would benefit the Trump presidency / program more? A strong U.S Dollar or a weak U.S Dollar? And why? ______________ (comment please).

Next…..

Would you say that the world at large currently views the Trump train as a stable and positive contributor to international trade and global economic development…or as a negative? ___________ (comment please).

Finally….

In the advent of some “international conflict” involving The U.S, Russia, China, Japan and/or any country in Europe would you expect this to be a positive or a negative for USD? ___________ (comment please).

What do you think the probability is of further escalation of conflict between The U.S , Russia , China , Japan , Korea , ISIS etc? _____________ (comment please).

Throwing around a bit of  “geo political analysis” is always great, as it can help provide a viewpoint that isn’t centered on one’s own “local situation” not to mention a break from the math and charts.

Remember…fear and greed are what moves human beings to do the crazy things they do so…. keep this in mind while formulating your answers.

EUR Looking To Fly Hgher

 

 

 

 

Kong Buys – First Lot EUR/USD – 1.0580

Forex Kong 8 Comments

One of the fantastic things about trading forex is that it trades 24 hours a day.

You can have your charts and indicators running ( mine rings a bell when hit ) and choose to place a trade anytime of the day or night. The Japanese Nikkei is in full effect right now as it’s 2:10 p.m in Japan.

I’m in Mexico. You are in Poland. Dorothy is in Kansas. My Dad is in Canada. Who gives a rat’s ass where you are..Boom!

Kong buys EUR/USD at 1.0580. Right here……right now.

EUR/USD On A Japanese Afternoon

EUR/USD On A Japanese Afternoon

 

 

 

Buy EUR/USD – Before Tuesday Afternoon

Forex Kong 4 Comments

You’re going to want to buy EUR before Tuesday.

This trade fits into the exact same framework we have been working with…with respect to The U.S Dollar taking a very large nose dive –  very, very soon. You can see in the chart below that EUR/USD has now put in an absolutely “classic swing low” right at the 50 day moving average…after completing only the first daily cycle of this new “intermediate cycle”. This suggests that we’ve got several more daily cycles to go ( lasting somewhere between 30-35 days each) before this upswing completes.

I would imagine the 200 day moving average ( marked in red ) should be the next target. That’s some 350 – 400 pips!

Buy EUR Before Tues Afternoon

These correlations with The Euro, USD and Gold are batting near 100% right now….as you can’t have The Euro rise without USD moving decidedly lower. The same thing goes for Gold, and if you really want to nail this…feel free to get long The Japanese Yen ( JPY ) as well. Yen chart looks exactly the same as EURO.

So…only one more asset class to consider here right? U.S Equities.

I can’t stand the stock market right now, as it’s continued rise goes against just about every fundamental principle I can drum up. There are too many indicators and factors to list – all suggesting this thing tops out  soon…or at the very least – makes a serious correction. The stock market is cyclical and there is not a single thing “any acting president” can do to change that.

Trump has certainly “empowered the common man” with the talk of bringing jobs back, and I can certainly appreciate that but…..it won’t last. Unfortunately for stock buyers – foreign exchange leads the way and the message is painfully clear.

This thing needs a complete and total reset before some incredible turn around in the U.S economy will be realized.

Wash rinse repeat people. You know this. Has it ever been any different?

Ride The Bull – And I Don’t Mean Stocks

Forex Kong 8 Comments

A tougher turn this time with stubborn Gold and The U.S Dollar eh? Eh?

Amazing…….a couple of dippy American chicks just nailed me for sounding “too Canadian”. When I’m speaking Spanish?? My my….If they could only hear themselves……hey y’all? How y’all dooooin??

How y’all doooooooin?? Gees. Shoot me now.

Get a load outta these two. You might as well just blind fold them, paint a couple big red targets on their backs, wind em up  and lettem go! I marvel how these people survive in the real world.

So gold riders! Canadians! Americans and Mexicans alike! Having a bit of trouble sticking to the plan here? A tough couple days hovering at near exactly my entry price of 12.35 on NUGT.

Conviction people. The bull can throw you for a loop once in a while….but you gotta stick to it…I mean really….you’ve stuck with stocks this long! Tick tock…..find the top….tick tock don’t get caught.

This thing is looking to kick you in the teeth here at any moment. Grab a little gold even as a hedge while you ride your stocks into the dirt for the next 2 years….at least you’ll break even.

Another day……a flat day –  no possible reason on Earth to consider it as anything more.

Forex_Kong_Akumal

Forex_Kong_Chillin In Cabo 

Look close……..you can see me there under the palms.