More U.S Data Disappoints – Nothing New

More horrible data out of the U.S this morning as orders for U.S “durable goods” fell further than expected.

Of particular note Aircraft orders were off 52.3%, for example after rising 33.8% in June. How ridiculous can you get? Orders for new aircraft “up” 33.8% in June then “down” 52.3% in July. I guess when you’re only selling 3 planes one month then 1 the next your numbers might vary so wildly. No…..I guess it would be 2 planes sold in June and only 1 in July for a 50% reduction. Who cares – the numbers mean nothing as  the entire thing is still just sitting there……stuck in the mud.

I need to make light of a prior post, and a graphic illustrating the “complete and total disconnect” of actual macro data , and the current levels in U.S stock markets. Again – ridiculous.

These kinds of situations are always tough on a fundamental trader as you “just can’t step on the gas” when you don’t have these fundamentals lined up as straight as you’d like. This summer’s trading has been at considerably lower levels of exposure, and with modest expectations so – I’m most certainly looking forward to the fall.

U.S debt ceiling talks are up next as “once again” (short of an extension) the U.S is officially broke.

I remain short USD here as of this morning – looking for another solid leg down.



5 Responses

  1. kevin1959 August 26, 2013 / 10:22 am


    Didi you send out a follow up to the currencies post on Friday? If you didnt, would love to hear your thoughts

    • Forex Kong August 26, 2013 / 10:25 am

      Damn – not specifically Kevin, but I will look to get a lil further “down that path” here pronto!

  2. devilyell August 26, 2013 / 10:27 am

    Hi Kong and All,

    Hope u had a nice weekend.

    >>I’m most certainly looking forward to the fall.

    LOL!…A double entendre! Of course they are the season and the dollar.
    And soon everything else.

  3. robert August 26, 2013 / 10:50 am

    Hi kong.. how funny is this market.. the data today and friday was weak and the usd strengthen?? Have we missed the short usd boat? Or is the yen being being short so heavily to compensate for usd weakess?

    • Forex Kong August 26, 2013 / 11:05 am

      I’ve got USD “hovering” at around the same levels for the past 3 days, as well testing a level of resistance “from below” that we’ve seen countless times in the past few months. This 81.20 / .40 zone is like a magnet here. Until of course we see it let go.

      A day a week, never really matters to me as long as I’m on the right side when she goes. It does get a touch frustrating day in day out – when markets just sit flat. Patience, patience, patience right?

      All looks good to me here, as a usual Monday type “nothin goin”day slowly drags on.

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