Profits Keep Coming – Trading Thru The Chop

A very interesting day here ( so far this morning ) with commodity related currencies running out of steam “just” as equities pop. Hmmmmm……

Short The Canadian Dollar is looking fantastic here via long USD/CAD as well short CAD/JPY at these levels. with the long GBP/AUD ( suggested some days ago ) now several hundred pips in profit.

We’ve exited both long EUR/USD as well short USD/CHF this morning, after taking profits in long GBP/USD ( 200 pip gain there ) some days ago.

Otherwise…..patiently waiting for AUD as well to a certain extent NZD – to make their turns.

Please pull a weekly chart of AUD/USD and have a peak at the “candle” forming as we speak – as well the continued “downward sloping RSI”.

The chop has been tough on many, but continues to provide many profitable trades…..you’ve just got to be willing to do a little extra work….and be very, very patient.

Check us out at: Forex Trading With Kong – Getting Started.

Investment Ants – Do As Ants Do

Indulge me for a moment as “I” – am like “you”.

Imagine yourself for moment – as an ant. One of many ants on the farm.

Living out your life, sandwiched between two panes of glass, sitting atop some desk somewhere in some kids bedroom or perhaps atop a desk at oh…..let’s say the Federal Reserve.

Years ago, your grandparents lived out their lives there as well. Innocently going about their business day-to-day, completely unaware of the immense curiosity “looming” outside the confines and safety of the farm.

“Hey Allan……you know….it’s been just over 5 years now staring at this damn ant farm of yours.”

“Have you ever wondered what would happen if you just…..you know – flipped it upside down”?

“Let’s do it! They’re ants for Petes sake! Let’s flip this thing upside down and see what happens!”

Low and behold. Magically…….everybody lands on their feet.

After a brief period of confusion “somehow” the ants just “accept it”… start to rebuild, and continue on their way. No glass broken…no “collective ball” near the exit at the top no. Just ants…completely unaware……doing what ants do.

The first time was a gamble sure….as The Fed had no idea “what might happen” but……these days?

Shit…….these days? They shake that thing up….flick paperclips at it, and will most certainly “once again” – turn things upside all-knowing……

We ants will just keep doing what ants do.

 

Turning Japanese – Trading The Weeks Ahead

Currency wise….little can be said. The chart of USD/JPY says it all.

This is “not” a time to consider individual economies / monetary policy / economic data of any specific country as……it’s really not about that now.

USD_JPY_June_22_2014

USD_JPY_June_22_2014

With such an extended move in “risk” all the while rapidly eroding fundamentals “world wide”…..we are faced with a very simple trade / principal with far more “significant implications” than the simple economic “rattlings” of a given country on any given day of any week.

Short term traders ( looking for an easy buck ) will have been ( and will continue to be ) completely blown to bits here as……..there is no short term trade.

100 pips ( represently fluctuation of a single cent ) jump like popcorn here, as do extended periods of time where a given currency pair just “pulls you off side” then spends days hanging in no man’s land ( sound familiar? ).

Nothing is going anywhere until this “distribution and repositioning” has run it’s course.

The obvious question at hand………………when?

I continue to watch the “continued strength” in JPY ( regardless of the lack of movement across JPY pairs ) as well the “expected reversal in Nikkei” as leading indicators – market wide.

We can’t be far off now.

 

JPY_Futures_2014-06-14

JPY_Futures_2014-06-14

Scratching the surface here these days at the free blog. For more on specific trades / entries / real time trading come join us at www.forexkong.net

 

 

Gold Going Down – Snake Oil Salesmen As Well

How is it that you continue to flush your money down the toilet?

It’s been pointed out here time and time again that “gold is not a trade” yet you continue to “buy the snake oil” these chicken shit / bullshit / con artist / “financial bloggers” keep selling you.

Perhaps you’ve gotten lazy, and have put your trust in others to “navigate the mine field for you” well……..

That’s just plain stupid.

Gold is going lower because ( big fat light bulb above your head )……Gold is going lower.

I’m not “selling you the reason”. I don’t need a chart.

You’ve got to stop looking for the “freebie” ( as you lose your ass ) and start looking at some of this stuff for yourselves.

What could some “clown in a desert” possibly know about the future of Gold – that you can’t just as easily figure out for yourself?

Blank stare…head scratch….akward silence…..dead air…….

……….

Exactly.

 

 

 

Is it any wonder I’ve had little to say as of late?

There finally comes a time where……you’ve seriously “had enough” and just can’t be bothered to explain / rationalize this nonsense.

The Fed “STILL” refuses to spit it out, talking this afternoon as if they are ( rolling on the floor laughing my ass off ) “achieving their goals” and that ( love this ) the U.S economy “continues to expand”.

Again…….laughing my fu$&kin ass off. “Expand”?

Perhaps the “balloned heads” of those on Wall St. and obviously the “waist lines” of the general American populus continue to expand ( a wonderful honor – deemed the “fattest nation” on the planet ) but……the economy???

Fudge.

You boys better get this war going soon as……..even Yellens acting coach is now re watching the tape with consideration that “shit! – we can’t get away with this again”.

Adding short SP 500 at 1940.

 

 

Intraday Ramblings – Don't Even Bother

I’m pretty sure that markets will take the 3rd and final “zig/zag” of this correction on the Fed statement tomorrow afternoon.

The Fed must align with the “already downward sloping projections” of both the IMF as well World Bank “admitting” – global growth ( and along with it – U.S growth ) is firmly on the decline.

I expect this to kick off the last little leg down, before ( god knows for what reason other than Central Bank intervention ) markets make one last shot for the highs – completing the “projected market direction” from last weeks report.

Investors may want to consider the next month even, as the last and final stop / place to consider taking serious steps towards portfolio liquidation / protection and a complete “changing of the guard” if you will.

Holding stocks after this final push higher will have you sitting in loss for much longer than it could possibly be worth ( short of the piddly dividends ) tieing up dollars that could easily produce much better returns “actively traded” on the short side so……please be warned. Buy and hold will not survive here. Period. You’re a complete and total idiot holding stocks past Sept – and I will mark this post / welcome you to look back and quote me in fact…..I’m marking it, and will look back to tell you so….

Traders can take a shot at it ( as I will be ) catching the next turn higher and taking it for what it is – a trade.

I will quite likely just “stop and reverse” on EUR/USD, GBP/USD ( re-enter short ) and USD/CHF at the bottom of this correction, sell USD/JPY as well the SP short  – and leave the JPY’s flat / re-evaluate the commodity currencies as……I don’t really expect these to “rocket ship higher” based on a crummy “last-ditch effort” in equity markets.

In any case……watch for another leg lower here in risk on “Fed admission” of lower projected growth in the U.S – then prepare for a quick turn and “last-ditch effort” ( which could still run for weeks if not months ) before markets turn for good late Aug / early Sept.

For members – Real time trades to follow in your inbox. I’m holding all now and will likely add short SP 500 to average in “after Fed” tomorrow, with plans to blow out this trade a few days later.

Fed Has Bad News – War On Dummy

Oh no……what do you know.

I’ve seen a handful of news articles ( ironically out of the U.S ) this morning suggesting that “The Fed” will likely “guide down” with respect’s to future outlook on U.S economic growth. He he he….you’ve got to love coming from my point of view. You’ve really gotta love it.

The Fed….now “changing the language” ( well…duh…as we all know global growth is set to “slow” ) to reflect concerns of “lower than expected growth” to follow.

Do you feel that you’ve been duped? Do you feel angry?

Can you imagine that after 5.5 years of essentially “robbing you of your savings” ( via 0% interest ) as well as”rapidly devaluing” your currency, providing “a big fat zero” to job creation and economic growth AND blowing an enormous bubble in the stock market……

You’ll now enter recession?

You’ve got your head buried so deep in the sand that you don’t even realize that “the recession” never left. Only a brief “5 year soaking” of the “mom’s n pop’s” to keep those Wall St banks afloat a while longer.

Well…..no that your savings are gone…..now that the “little bit extra you thought you had” for stock investing is gone…..now that your job is gone…shit….now that your wife and kids are gone we might as throw in the fact that your hair has likely “left the building as well”.

What the f#%k are you gonna do now?

Hey! It’s America! Let me guess??

Please don’t say “join the army”….please no……please don’t say that.

War! War! ( southern twang ) What we Americans need is a damn war!! Let’s go to  war dang it ! Mamma! Mamma! I wanna go to war!!

Fudge.

How many times do you need to see the same stupid Hollywood movie over and over,and over again?

Have you considered taking up arms against The Fed?

Global Growth Forecast Slashed – Up We Go!

Some interesting macro factors have “suddenly” come into play over the past few days, but the question still remains – “does anything fundamental even matter to this market”?

Markets shrugged off the concerns in Ukraine, which in my opinion is very strange as “if anything” – the fighting / conflict / killing has only escalated! What started out as people throwing rocks in the street has now progressed to full on military assaults involving helicopters, fighter jets, tanks etc….

And now “suddenly” a good part of Iraq has been taken over! Practically overnight  ISIS, the brutal insurgent/terrorist group formerly known as al Qaeda in Iraq, has seized much of western and northern Iraq with eyes now set on Baghdad. Incredible.

If not under the complete and total control of Central Bankers news like this would / should normally have “ROCKED” markets but of course…..not these days as….these aren’t “our markets”. The distance between rationality / fundamentals and “absolute ridiculous manipulation” has never been greater.

Will either of these “new wars” put a crimp in global appetite for risk? Maybe we should throw in the World Bank’s recent “slashing” of global growth prospects as well. 2014 estimates slashed from 3.2% to 2.8% – with the U.S specifically cut from 2.8% to 2.1%.

Is that even considered growth?

Looking ahead…..this thing is a train wreck “slowly gathering speed”.

Those on the sidelines should actually consider themselves lucky.

If Not Balls – You Still Have Faith

You know….It’s pretty tough to teach someone to “grow a pair”.

There will always be that certain kind of person….afraid to stand to close to the edge, scared half to death of “doing something different”, completely freaked out about “most anything” that hasn’t already  been tried, tested and proven “safe”. A real “straight edge” if you know what I’m getting at. A real “puss-puss” in other terms. You know what I’m talking about? You know someone like this?

Imagine…….

What a complete and total bore.

What kills me, is when these kinds of people “somehow” stumble into the trading / investing / financial world with actual hopes of succeeding! Like they expect “for whatever reason” that the world will be kind to them and help them along. The complete and total misconception that “everything will be alright” and “if I just stay positive…everything is going to be fine”.

( sound of iratating buzzer going off on some ridiculous game show ) Beeeeegh!!

Wrong. You lose. Thanks for coming out. Please exit stage left, and don’t let the door smack your ass on the way out.

Puss- puss’s don’t win, and from what I’ve come to understand….there’s no changing them. Once a puss-puss “always” a puss puss.

This thing is a street fight. You’ve got to imagine yourself with a skull half bashed in “swinging for the fences” against 4 or 5 guys twice your size ( true story by the way ) lookin to make you go “bye bye” for good!

You need to fight! You need to grow a freakin pair!

I can show you what I’m doing……and I can tell you what I think. But it’s you and only you!…..that needs to push the buttons.

Faith is bullshit, and last time I looked – balls are real.