SP 500 and Risk – Second Chance To Sell

If you’ve been fortunate enough to have timed the low back in February – Bravo!

Seriously…..job well done in this trade environment.

But!

Don’t get complacent here. This is what I would call a “second chance” as I expect to see the SP 500 ( and all other world markets ) roll over here around 2075-2100 ( duh – right? ) then proceed lower – taking out the lows at 1800.

SP 500 March 30th 2016

SP 500 March 30th 2016

Yes that’s right – taking out the lows at 1800.

If I where a gambling man…..I would simply look to book “any” profits I’ve got over the next day or two, and put away the charts for a couple months.

You don’t trade Forex so don’t worry about it.

I’m two days into my “short USD trade” and just getting started.

A significant trade indeed.

Swing High In U.S.D – Significant Move Ahead

Today marks a fairly significant day in the life of Kong as yet another milestone is passed…..another goal achieved.

Stars have aligned, cosmic events have fallen into place and years worth of work and dedication have finally paid off.

It’s time to make “a significant trade”.

The U.S Dollar has juuuust barely swung high as of this morning, and I am placing what may very well be the most significant trade of the year.

I am getting short The U.S Dollar for what I expect to be a “large-scale move” to the downside.

There are a million different reasons to justify such a trade, but I’m sure you already know. Yes the global economy is in shambles, yes the American election is set to be the most embarrassing political event in history, yes the crisis in Syria continues, and yes I am still 1000% completely convinced that further QE is in the cards for America.

This turn looks ugly. I’ve been staring at charts for weeks, and I see the same thing reflected “everywhere”.

Watch from the sidelines, or just buckle up for the ride.

Sideways soon turning to downside.

Brexit Is A Total Joke – Retail Investors Smoked On Pound

Britain isn’t going anywhere.

In a world where tensions between East and West continue to escalate, do you really think “now” is a time for the West to divide? Not a chance…..not in a million years. Not to mention the fact that the referendum isn’t set to go off until June 23rd! Th pound has been “pounded” down to serious levels of long-term support ( 1.39 area in general ) and has 3 full months to go ’til this “ridiculous exercise in bureaucracy” plays out.

What is happening?
UK Prime Minister David Cameron has announced a referendum on whether Britain should remain in the European Union to be held on Thursday 23 June.
What is a referendum?
A referendum is basically a vote in which everyone (or nearly everyone) of voting age can take part, normally giving a “Yes” or “No” answer to a question. Whichever side gets more than half of all votes cast is considered to have won.

I am looking for serious trade opportunities in GBP over coming weeks, but am patient enough to wait a little longer. We are close “level wise” but timing is always a factor.

USD down as well stocks cratering – as suggested. My first set of orders were picked up last night around dinner time.

Could be in for a “quick hit” here as markets are still trading in a fairly “blurry range”….but I expect downside to continue. Responsible trading has me holding small orders with a watchful eye.

Getting stopped out is a good thing remember….as you can’t win every time.

Key is to just to keep those losses small.

 

 

Forex_Kong_Snow

Stocks Enter New Cycle – Failed Cycle

Some of you follow cycles, some of you follow astrology. Some of you follow “clown ass donkeys” ’round the internet – looking for advice.

Followers.

Follow this:

I think this thing “kacks out” right around here ( price level wise ) and we get set to follow something alright……..something going lower.

We’ve failed.

The intermediate ( medium term cycle ) has failed and we’ve bounced. Barely bounced.

Risk move lower. Stocks move lower. Dollar tanks. Yen runs…

Monday……. trades get picked up!

 

 

Earth Sells Off Hard – Lower Lows To Follow

With over a month of inactivity short of holding the same positions, the same strategy as outlined here countless numbers of times – our old friend The U.S Dollar has done us proud.

The “dumb buck” has lost some 1000 pips v.s the Japanese Yen since markets topped some months ago, and has made an equally bad showing against the majority of its rivals.

This has only just begun.

You may recall chatter some months ago about China and a number of other countries moving away from use of The Dollar in international trade, and recent news suggests that now Iran ( with sanctions being lifted ) is looking to sell its oil in Euro only.

Unfortunately you just can’t have it both ways.

Things will only spiral further down the drain when U.S interest rates go negative ( where essentially they are already if you consider inflation ) and The Fed looks to launch QE5.

All those worthless dollars already printed…..and a shit pile more coming soon – to an unemployment office near you. This is no time to be disappointed or upset! Rejoice in your new-found knowledge that the entire “economic recovery” has been a complete and total sham, and be glad you made the realization early enough to survive.

Have you survived? I hope so.

And it’s really not too late…unless of course you are still of the mindset that “The Central Banks” have got your back well then…….one would think you’d of learned your lesson over the past month er so.

Earth is selling off hard. There isn’t a damn thing “they” or “anyone” can do about it.

Global stock markets are literally “tanking daily” and in my view things are just getting started.

From a technical perspective we’ve only just “shaved the top” off this mountain off bullshit, now with The SP 500 still hanging around the neckline area of support – but that won’t last much longer.

New lows…..then even “lower lows” to follow as The U.S Dollar plummets, Japanese Yen come flooding back to the country where they were printed, Euro and GBP remain elevated and the commodity related “currencies” trade flat.

A low in oil at some point ( correlating with the dump in USD ) won’t mean the markets will recover…not in the slightest as oil will then just bounce along said bottom for eternity. No immediate opportunities there.

People are flat busted, food prices are “out of this world” and global economic data is quickly turning from bad to horrific. This is not a blip. This is not a “correction”. This is not a drill.

This is 2016 baby….and it will be one for the books.

 

Dollar_No_More

Dollar_No_More

Mind The Bounce – Tomorrow Should Confirm

It’s been a great run, but markets look set to bounce here with the SP 500 finding support area around 1880.

Long JPY trades closed, as a “swing low” on daily charts ( when tomorrow’s closes “higher” than today’s high ) should confirm a short-term move to the upside.

This will be a bounce, but considering volatility these days one can’t say for certain just how “big a bounce”.

Technical damage to markets is massive. I expect we float /drift sideways for the next couple weeks – offering few decent trading opportunities.

Stack all the cash you’ve recently made long JPY / short risk and go hit the beach for a couple of days. You won’t miss a thing.

 

 

 

Weekly Charts – Confirmation We Go Lower

The weekly charts in SP 500 and Dow now clearly broken.

We move lower here….like weeks lower…so don’t get caught buying dips!

We sell rips in this environment so what you are looking for are strong “daily closes” in order to find higher levels to continue to “add short on”.

Find “max green” intra day / week  to continue loading short.

Long JPY the biggest winner ( as you guys already know this! ) with Commods like AUD getting punched in the knee.

Looming buys in both EUR and GBP vs USD but likely not for a few days…..legging in as soon as this evening /  late afternoon tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

Year 2016 Starts Now! – Get With The Program!

A fantastic start to the new year with equity markets in particular – showing their hands early.

Today looks fantastic as currency markets are essentially `giving us the day to catch up`….with little movement in USD itself – but OBVIOUS movement in JPY as risk sells off hard.

You guys know this…..this should look very straight forward at this point as the clear trade is still Long JPY vs Commods….as well short USD coming up here again soon.

These pairs are a given as risk falls off the cliff, while we get another full day ( or two more perhaps ) before USD rolls over and `those` pairs get added to the pile.

I wish it was more exciting at times too folks…however after a time…this just gets redundant.

We are going lower…..days lower…….weeks lower.

 

Forex_Kong_Face_Book

Forex_Kong_Face_Book

It's Raining Money – Weekly Candle On Dow

Pull a weekly chart and check out the candle now formed on Dow.

This is what we love to see, as it’s raining money in the land of Kong.

For those with a solid grasp on reality, and not some dumb ass perma bull loud mouth spouting that it’s “option expiration to blame”….bravo. The U.S Dollar’s fundamental role change in global trade/economy now confirmed – Rate hikes won’t be driving anyone to it. It’s not a reflection of safety.

Read back over the past few days. Simply put things are playing out exactly as forseen.

Merry ho ho ho !

Kong In Cash – Tomorrow Will Crush You

I have closed all positions Long JPY ( thousands of pips profit in total ) as well all USD trades and am now 100% in cash.

Tomorrow, potentially  brings with it one of the largest “market moving” events/announcements of not only this past year….but perhaps even the last 10 years – as The U.S Fed looks to either “raise interest rates” ( .25 token move if at all ) or sit tight.

Either way ( once the dust settles ) it’s all bad news for USD and likely risk in general.

I have no opinion on it…..as it makes absolutely no difference to me.

The U.S Dollar is no longer viewed as a safe haven. Further QE is coming……so tomorrow is just another day.

I do however recommend “what ever you decide to do” – do yourself a favor and wait until “at least” Asian markets express their views or likely even better….the following day in U.S trading closer to the closing bell.

There is no trade until the fireworks end. …unless of course you enjoy having things blow up in your face.

I’m not much for that.

Good luck everyone!

 

 

 

 

Forex_Kong_Face_Book

Forex_Kong_Face_Book