QE5 Coming To Americans – Sad But True

You know….it’s a tragedy really.

A sad, sad story of deceit.

Unfolding slowly at first, then ramping to climax when “least most expected”.

Think of  all the talk in the news…..rates hike expectations, and the “anticipation” surrounding this glorious event when essentially the U.S Fed will “put a stamp” on the economic recovery – and do the right thing.

A rise in interest rates ( as detrimental as it would be to the already “anemic economy” ) would tell the rest of the world that “everything has gone according to plan”, “we’ve done what was needed, and now it’s time for a return to normalcy”. Not gonna happen.

Consider that today’s horrible U.S jobs report ( far lower job growth than forecast ) is just another reason for The Fed to hold off on normalizing rates. Imagine that now……BAD JOBS NUMBERS allow the Fed to just keep on with the only thing it knows how to do . The only thing it “can do” in order to stop the U.S from falling off the cliff into complete and total economic collapse. You got it. You’re getting better at this.

Just print more money.

I predict “at best” a small quarter point raise some time next year – (if that…and only to appease the masses for a short period of time) before the Fed cranks up the printing presses for QE4, QE5 – crushing the U.S Dollar and finally pushing The U.S to the brink.

Perhaps on the heels of some juicy news that Russia has now done this….or China has now done that when really….as I think its become quite clear over the past few years…it’s THE FED that has done this.

As American citizens sit and watch this sad drama unfold…………………..from the cheap seats of course.

I remain short risk as this has been the best trade of the entire year ( going back several weeks now ) and I will “double down” later this year on complete and total U.S Dollar destruction.

Thank you U.S Fed.

You make this sooooo easy.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Short Humanity – Long Interplanetary Travel

The wait has been brutal, and the USD pairs “wide-ranging behavior” has made it very difficult to pick a specific level, and feel “good” about nailing an entry.

Patience has been pushed to the limit, as the daily volatility continues to wipe out the small guys.

I dare say it again…..but we should see the waterfall commence here very , very soon.

With continued concentration on the JPY pairs vs AUD, NZD and CAD – what can be said?

These trades continue to produce, now I dunno….several hundreds of pips ( 1000’s cumulatively ) in the green.

If you’ve still got a couple pennies in your jeans…..remain short…add short risk as we are clearly moving lower ( and in my view even lower ).

Interestingly……you can’t have a low in Oil…….without a high / turn in USD ( as oil is priced in USD )

I remain short risk…..long JPY and short USD….and as suggested some weeks ago – Feel free to take a look at the profits come mid/late October.

Bloglodytes Unite! – Intro To Economics

Q: What did the midget say when I asked him for a dollar?

A: “Sorry bud……………………………………….I’m a little short”.

Feel free to pull the trigger anywhere in here today, as most currency pairs have done what was expected – providing for fantastic entries here “short USD” and short “risk in general”.

You’ll see a number of the other usual correlations play out ( as this is so straight forward and obvious ) with commodities moving higher as “the currency that they are priced in” slides lower, then lower…….and lower some more. And yes folks…..even gold and silver!

Again I marvel at the “hoards of financial bloglodytes” peddling this kind of information for money.

This is about as common knowledge as it gets.

Literally……”Introduction to economics 101″.

 

 

China Evolves – You Hate Every Minute Of It

I marvel at the “trade clowns” looking to pin this downturn on China.

Spoiled little brats, crying to their mommies because the big kid down the street took their ball away.

Infantile. Small minded. Dumb.

Blaming the Chinese…..like the 100’s of thousands of poor farmers there in China, who’ve only recently moved into the larger cities and started small food carts or trinket shops are somehow “responsible” for the decline.

Do you really think any of them are big buyers/seller in the stock markets anyway? Like they’ve got all kind of “extra cash” lying around after barely having enough to eat?

Oh wait…..it’s the government. That’s right. The Chinese government ( with planning so advanced and so “long-term” it would make your head spin) ) has done this to you. Sure….talk about calling the kettle black. How stupid can you be? Naaa….not there in the U.S no, no , no…….the stock market and currency aren’t manipulated there no no…..not at all. Gag.Puke.Hernia.Stroke.

Fact of the matter is – China ( if anyone ) is just fine. It’s the “global economy” that is grinding to a halt while China continues on with its plan. Slowing evolving from an export economy ( selling things to you ) to its very own “consumer economy” ( manufacturing and selling things to its own people ).

You just don’t like it because you are afraid of it.

For what it’s worth……half the planet could drop off into the oceans overnight – and China would just keep on rolling.

The Chinese don’t need you.

You hate knowing that.

Navigate Intra Day Markets – Sit Down. Shut Up.

Sit down. Shut up.

The pre-market has already “done its thing” and you’ve no chance of survival.

There are no opportunities here today in equities as the Wall St boys have already made their move. ( This doesn’t happen to you when trading Forex as….the market trades 24 hours a day ).

As with yesterday’s plunge ( all pre-market ) or rather – ” inversely ” today the T.V suggests “Equities biggest one day gains” but…….you’ll have none of it.

It’s not for you.

“You” are for “them”.

Just sit down. Sit it out….and get ready for the next “larger leg lower”.

I’m 100% ( yes 100% cash ) and will spend the next few days at the local casino. Burning 100’s on Blackjack for fun.

I gamble all the time….

Just not with my trading.

 

 

Look At Yourself – Do You Really Have A Clue?

Strip away the television.

Scrap the Internet.

Cut the phone lines and burn the newspapers.

Then go take a look in the mirror……Go! – Do it! Go look yourself right in those “baby blues”……….and ask yourself.

Do I really have a f%(@king clue as to what the hell I’m doing?

Do I “really” know a single “f*$@Qking thing” of my own? – short of what “I’m told”?

Answer: Not.

Solution………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..Become a writer.

“Know Thyself”.

 

 

Nikkei Down -638 Points – Long JPY Trade Is Gold

The Japanese Stock Market ( The Nikkei ) is now down -638 points as Americans start “waking up”. China has cratered.

How are the long JPY trades going? – Absolutely golden!

The relationship between “risk appetite” and The Japanese Yen ( JPY ) has never been more clear, as short trades in AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, CAD/JPY and USD/JPY have produced some 5-600 pips in only a few short days.

USD trades remain flat, as the continued concerns about Greece keep EUR ( the polar opposite of USD ) in a continued state of flux/confusion.

This is not about Greece. It’s about China. It’s about global appetite for risk…and it’s about the big boys making a speedy exit with profits in hand, as The SP 500 “continues” to make lower highs and lower lows ( the definition of a down trend ).

This is certainly not over. It’s not a dip to be bought, as we’ve been on the other side of the mountain for days now.

Protect yourself, as I “remain” short risk.

 

 

 

 

Down Dooby-Doo Down Down – You Know This!

The Japanese Nikkei ( you know……my favorite right?) Is currently down -422 points – and it’s only lunch time in Japan. That’s a 2% drop in a matter of 4 hours trading.

We touched on it last week when I (once again ) encouraged you to take note of the currency pair AUD/JPY and also suggested The SP would fade, and China would sink.

I expect tomorrow morning’s open will catch your attention…not to mention “the crater in your portfolio”, as markets tank, Japanese Yen sky rockets and The U.S Dollar continues to tank.

Wall St. already dumped their dollars ( on you retail ) so don’t look to see USD going anywhere but DOWN along with U.S Equities. You can use tomorrow’s price action as an indicator.

EUR is solid as a rock as of this evening. You’ll understand it…….some day.

We are deep in the money all the way around with the same underlying theme….risk off = Yen to the moon and USD to the basement.

No one wants to hold U.S Dollars ( as they are continually viewed as “worthless” ) when risk comes off…..it’s like a big game of musical chairs.

“Down Dooby-Doo Down Down” – The music is ending.

Don’t be the last to take a seat.

A Forex Plan Moving Forward – Risk Off

The down trend in Japanese Yen ( and subsequent rise in risk appetite ) now looks to be “officially broken”. We clearly understand the relationship here.

It would take an awful lot to imagine pairs such as AUD/JPY or CAD/JPY reversing here, and putting in new highs. Very unlikely.

I am looking to start ( in typical fashion – with single contract entries ) short positions in any number of JPY related pairs with particular focus on JPY vs AUD, NZD, CAD ( the commodity related currencies ).

In general I expect to see JPY rise…..and USD fall along side risk.

I would be wary of trades in EUR/JPY , CHF/JPY and perhaps even GBP/JPY as “if/when” USD continues to fall….the E.U related currencies will take inflows so…..bigger moves to be seen in JPY vs Commods.

Still holding USD shorts – YES.

This is pretty “macro” here everyone, as at some point you’ve got to pick a side, plan your trades and put that plan into action.

If markets continue to trade “sideways” in general well……these trades could just as easily wallow/sit in the mud as the continued “distribution” here across the top goes on.

Broad strokes have me seeing a lower low now firmly established in SP 500 suggesting we bounce, and look for the ultimate short entry ( long JPY vs Commods, Short USD against E.U currencies ) over coming days.

If the media has us waiting until Sunday for more bullshit coming out of Greece – so be it. Small entries as mentioned above can be made prior…with thought in mind of either “adding to shorts higher” come Sun/Monday…..or getting some orders in “underneath” these pairs..allowing momentum to pick us up.

I see the table set for a significant move lower in risk appetite so….the breakdown above gives you the plan across most of the major currencies “pending” this plays out,,,,and “doesn’t” just continue trading back into the range.

Have fun. Enjoy some sun. Stay out of trouble if you can help it.