Month: November 2012

A Race For The Bottom – Who Cares Who Wins

Forex Kong 3 Comments

There will be no discussion of the “potencial outcomes and implications” of the U.S elections results here….short of this. Obama wins hands down, and the entire planet breathes a huge sigh of relief  that the U.S didn’t revert back to the previous policies/leadership that put them in this position in the first place. Trust me, political views aside (myself being Canadian and now living in Mexico – go figure) global financial markets are not interested in ” upsetting the apple cart” of continued money printing and easing – now being adopted worldwide.

Nothing will change regardless of the outcome – as the wheels are now set in motion for the endless printing of dollars ( and Euro…and Yen etc..) as the global  “race for the bottom”  – begins to pick up speed.

At risk of sounding like a broken record – as the value of the U.S dollar continues to fall – gold/silver ( and the commodity related currencies ) stand to be the largest benefactors – as money gets cheaper……..and “things” become more expensive.

Last I looked  – I believe its called inflation.

Watch for real time trading here  – via the twitter feed on the right hand column. I expect the week to be “profitable”….. to say the least.

Kong……..gone.

Open your Eyes – Take Comfort In Commodities

Forex Kong 8 Comments

If you only follow one asset class…ie…gold or bonds…or stocks via the SP 500 or Dow – you really need to consider opening your eyes a little wider to get a true understanding of where things are going. The financial blogoshpere is ablaze this morning with freaked out investors and traders –  crying the blues that gold has “fallen off a cliff”  and that the dollar is headed for the moon. This couldn’t be further from the truth.

Indeed gold has taken a dip ( and for many…30 bucks may seem more like a crater) but looking at a daily chart, and drawing a simple trendline – one finds that this is as normal a pullback as any, and that the up trend in gold is very much intact.

Currency wise – the commodity related currencies  (or CommDolls..including AUD, NZD and CAD) are more than holding their own, and continue to gain ground against the dollar – as oil likely finds support here as well. The only “real loser” here today is the EURO – and even at that, is no lower vs the dollar than it was  a month ago.

Looking at the larger picture across several asset classes, this looks like a buying opportunity to me, and as much as I understand how difficult it may be – you really do need to open your eyes ( and possibly hold your nose) “buy the blood” and take comfort in commodities.

Sitting on my Hands – Ankle Deep In Green

Forex Kong 2 Comments

Full time trading is hard.

There is no question about that. Pretty much everything you’ve ever heard about the psychological strains, the isolation, the pressure, the stress – is true. Not to mention the time invested, the knowledge needed, the discipline required, and the hard cold fact that each and every day – you are essentially “going to war” against the worlds fastest computers, and some of the highest paid, and most intelligent people on earth.

Oh ya….and all you’ve got is a handful of your own money, a cheap laptop, and if you’re lucky – an internet connection that won’t crap out on you while you’re watching the market crash on CNN Español.

So…….when things go in your favor – and your hard efforts have been rewarded with your trades safely “deep in green” I guess its ok to just…..sit on your hands.

Markets look poised to move higher.

Don't Get Fooled Again – EUR Is Going North

Forex Kong 4 Comments

Listen……….

The $dxy (or symbol:$usd) tracks/charts the U.S dollar against a “basket of currencies” where 57% of that basket is weighted EUR – and the remaining percentage is broken down as follows:

http://www.fxtrademaker.com/usdx.htm

Often… traders will watch this symbol, and make assumptions as to the dollars strength or weakness based on its movement.

BUT……………..

When looking at individual currencies independently – “against the U.S Dollar” one can see that this is by no means accurate – and in my opinion…..extremely misleading.

I see the $dxy at 80.05 presently ( up +0.14) – which would suggest dollar strength – right?………RIGHT?

Then why is my screen “so deep in the green” when I am short the U.S Dollar?

HMMMMMM……………

BECAUSE I AM SHORT THE DOLLAR AGAINST EVERYTHING UNDER THEN SUN….”OTHER” THAN THE EURO!

AUD  killin it……NZD killin it………CAD killin it.

So….You get it?

Don’t get fooled…the dollar is goin down….down……down.