Call it 96.50 or 97.00 – I mean seriously. We are talking about 1/100th of a cent difference in the value of the currency so…..take your decimal points and go blow it. Its far bigger than that.
Forex is highly leveraged, and great deals of money can be made on even the smallest of moves but…..thats not the reason I trade forex.
I trade forex because it’s the ¨window to our world¨. Economically. Geo politically. Nothing goes on in any other market, any other asset class that isn’t first reflected in the currency market.
The trick is only to understand it.
Forex trades 24 hours a day…no pre market bullshit….no after market earnings announcements ( ever wonder why they do that? ). You don´t wake up in the morning to find out your stock has traded down 23 bucks during the hours that you´ve been sleeping….laying there – powerless.
You can stay in the game – out on the field 24 hours a day!
I like that as…….I like to play…and I´m very good at it.
USD in the 96.00 area suggests a serious inflection point. I won´t get into the fine details….just sticking to the plan.
You lining up any trades?
You can play “short USD” in any number of ways….and when considering “diversification” ( as any knowledgeable trader / investor should! ) why not throw a couple of bux towards those good ol gold and silver mining stocks.
As a “token” of my current plans moving forward “as planned”….I am placing the first of many orders “long gold and silver” ( inverse to short U.S Dollar ) here today.
Long IMG at 5.00 Even.
The currency side of things plays out pretty simply.
USD goes down and the largest gains are seen in pairs such as short USD/JPY and long GBP/USD, EUR/USD.
When risk comes off “in general” ( which will also happen for a time here ) even bigger gains are found in getting long JPY against AUD, NZD and CAD.
I expect U.S Equity markets to fall “along side” USD as well so – there’s a head scratcher for ya! Kong ! I thought that if U.S Equities get “sold” then money should just pour back into the U.S Dollar no???
The big boys are already out of their “long dollar trades” and it will be JPY that rises as U.S Equity markets sell off.
JPY is the funding currency for this gong show, and you will see it hit the stratosphere when equities are sold.
You know it’s funny…..human beings have become so lazy these days…so passive so….sedentary – they really just want to be told whats what. What’s going to happen. What to think. What to do.
Just lay it out for me in a couple of bold headlines and perhaps a small snippet of information please ( as anything more would simply be “just too much”. ) No need to get into any “great detail” – just tell me what to do so I cam make lots of money, and most importantly…think about very little.
Don’t raise any controversy, don’t rock the boat…don’t make me “question anything”. I only want sound, actionable information….and it MUST make me money while I do “as close to nothing” as humanly possible.
This is what is going to happen to the U.S Dollar, and this is what I am doing about it.
So there it is.
About as straight up / straight forward as it gets these days….right down to the levels, and the days. Is This gonna work for you, or would you also prefer that I push the buy and sell buttons for you too?
The last little “spike” in USD offers is yet another fantastic opportunity to “sell the rips” not “buy the dips” as we are in a very solid and confirmed daily downtrend.
USD Trend is down – the trade is short. This is a rip t be sold.
Do it. Make cash.
In light of the recent ( and suggested ) pullback in Gold and Silver Mining Stocks…
I had to pull out an “oldy but a goodie”. Makes me laugh looking back….
Looking ahead……..this pullback and continued build of small gold and silver miners should prove to be very, very profitable.
I’d been sitting on the sidelines for quite some time ( as markets continued to astound ) until just recently taking aim at a couple nice set ups. Here’s a look back a couple of weeks. Let’s see how ‘l Kong made out.
Short USD: August 1st – CHECK
Crude Oil Bottom: August 3rd Post – CHECK
USD/JPY To Parity – Nasdaq Double Top – CHECK
Patience always the key when trading. You really need to plan your attack and not get caught chasing markets. In any case…pleased to be back in action. Looking forward to my next adventure. Stay tuned folks, and if there is anyone here from Chile ( Yes the country of Chile…in South America yes ) please drop me a line.
The chart says it all, as many a reader still has this illusion that “stock market highs = economic prosperity”.
Count your blessings if you’ve made out well….watch for post election mayhem.
The current “gong show” playing out in U.S politics simply cannot be ignored ( as much as I’d love to just see this go away) as the economic “shit storm” brewing underneath continues to gather steam. I implore you..can any of you find a single “legit argument” that the price of U.S Equities will continue to climb past November?
As suggested in the previous post. It’s time to start making a plan. It’s time to batten down the hatches and consider “what the hell you are going to do with your current portfolio” as “E Day” ( election day ) draws near.
Any solid arguments that Clinton can improve/save it? How bout Trump?
From the jungle side looking in……I can’t see any good coming from either but….so we shall see.
Opinions and views more than welcome.
Not to say there isn’t considerable medium / long-term opportunity in the miners ( cuz there is ! ) – you may have missed the boat.
This chart will make your head spin as……the gains have been nuts. Even Gary Savage ( apparently ) got this one right.
Short term – I would encourage you to just stay put, but as I’ve always said – Get this stuff on your radar! You need to identify levels, plot support and resistance on your charts, keep a pad of paper by the computer for f@*k sake!
Consider “post election” as a fantastic time to enter, as we are obviously over extended here. But get a list together! Make a plan! It won’t matter if the people of the Unite States vote for – the puppet or the clown.
Gold/Silver will both head for the moon as the entire planet completely freaks out.
I’ve done my best to explain this on several occasions…”oh how I’ve tried to explain this!”
But you humans….crazy humans – so anxious to “hit those buttons” so “spurred by emotion” compelled to “buy buy buy” or “sell sell sell” on a moments notice. If only for a minute you could learn to slow things down, you’d quickly realize – you’ve missed nothing, there is no rush, the markets move far slower than you think. Everything will be O.K, and “even better” – if you could just manage to control your emotions.
If you are considering placing an order on a particular asset “short” (with hopes that it will fall in value) there are most certainly ways to go about this without “losing the farm”.
You need to understand how/why to place “limit orders”.
Limit Orders – How To Use Limit Orders
A limit order is an order to buy or sell a set number of shares at a specified price or better. A limit order guarantees price, but not an execution.
So for example…..If I see a particular stock priced at $108 per share, and I have some idea that said stock is likely to fall in value. I don’t just “sell short”! I look to place a “limit order” to sell at a set price LOWER than the current value of $108!
If in fact the stock price falls ( lets say my order was to “limit sell” at 107.50 ) then great! I get my order picked at 107.50 and am well on my way! If the stock shoots for the moon and I was totally wrong in looking to go short…..my “limit order” does not get picked up….I am not in the trade….the stock rockets to $120.00 and I am left with no trade…..but a perfect example of “no trade….being a great trade”.
Limit orders allow you to “take your shot” – but only on momentum moving your way. If price doesn’t move in your direction – you don’t get picked up!
Use ’em – I know I do.
Several of’em currently lying in wait.
These days it makes little sense contemplating every single “little move” in any number of currencies, as forex markets are more or less flat / stagnant. Sure the Brexit did it’s thing and the pound (GBP) got hammered, and sure the Japanese Yen (JPY ) has been on a tear since big banks and large-scale traders have clearly been ditching their Carry Trades – in preparation for a larger scale fall in risk assets ( likely to follow post U.S Election ).
So what’s a trader to do?
Many have been suggesting that the long-term “double top” in Tech stocks / Nasdaq could very well be what markets are shooting for, prior to pulling back….and it looks like we are just about there.
What might throw a number of you for a loop, will be to keep a close eye on USD as U.S Equities pullback.
Traditional thinking would have the U.S Dollar rise ( as U.S Equities are sold and “cash is then raised” ) but we’re not much for traditional thinking ’round these parts. Nothing has changed with respect to the longer term idea that USD is set for a much larger fall.
I would take a very serious look at “any currency” Vs JPY on the smallest indication that “risk aversion” rears its ugly head as…..money is gonna pour back into the primary funding currency of this charade ( that being Japanese Yen ).
I’m sure by now you are all well aware – I can’t stand the mainstream media.
I cringe every time I see some “breaking news story” ( particularly in the U.S ) hinting of rate hikes, when in reality…..this is complete and total bullshit.
Let’s do a test.
Ask yourself if this mornings headlines such as “Fed rate hike odds jump on positive July employment report” didn’t bend your ear. Sounds pretty certain. Sounds like the odds of a rate hike are right around the corner.
You didn’t read the rest of the story. As you live in a world so full of information….your habits have changed, your DNA on the move. You don’t “read” anymore. You scan. Exposed to more information per day than people 20 years ago had available “per decade” – you have no real idea what to believe, as there is so much bullshit out there….so much crap…you’ve morphed into a “scanner” and not a reader. Soon to be a tiny body with an oversized head, sitting in a chair of virtual reality – sipping some algae/protein/zanex based concoction – sold to you by Dupont.
U.S Rate Hike – Total Bullshit
The probability for a rate hike in September jumped to 18%, from the 12% registered prior to the data, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
You getting this? a jump in probability from 12% to 18%…….and markets go wild. Kinda like a jump from “zeeeeeeero” to never….but the spin doctors got’choo.
Do yourself a favor……….stop watching cable. You are not yourself.
Note the bold text in this post.
Looks like I “got’choo” too. Rate hike impossible. Not gonna happen. Actually……an 82% change it’s not gonna happen.
Oooops……isn’t that what you read?